Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Cagliari vs Bologna
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Cagliari host Bologna on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cagliari 28%, draw 28%, Bologna 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cagliari €5.5M, Bologna €10.0M.
- All 11 of Bologna's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cagliari goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Cagliari 1994 · Bologna 2109
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cagliari · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 (Good) · Elo 2218
Bologna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.3 (Good) · Elo 2181
Absences
Cagliari
Ruled out
- Riyad IdrissiJumpers Knee1653
Bologna
None reported
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cagliari
7th in Serie A · 13 pts from 6
- 11 OctDJuventus Serie A2005
- 19 SepWUdinese Serie A2014
- 12 SepWAtalanta Serie A1964
- 7 SepWLecce Serie A1940
- 3 SepLHellas Verona Italy Coppa Italia1800
Bologna
14th in Serie A · 5 pts from 7
- 17 OctLInter Serie A2100
- 11 OctWLecce Serie A2107
- 19 SepDTorino Serie A2114
- 13 SepLNapoli Serie A2102
- 6 SepDSassuolo Serie A2125
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 13 /6 | 47.7 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 10th |
| Bologna | 5 /7 | 47.9 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cagliari: direct (how Fabio Pisacane plays) · Bologna: balanced profile (how Domenico Tedesco plays)