UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 4
Brighton vs Universitatea Craiova
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Amex Stadium, Brighton
Brighton host Universitatea Craiova on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Brighton 84%, draw 11%, Universitatea Craiova 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Brighton €28.6M, Universitatea Craiova €1.5M.
- Draw chance 11%, below the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
- Liga I: L. Popescu is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1940).
- Universitatea Craiova's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 over 180 days.
- Universitatea Craiova are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Brighton goals first.
- 2–016%
- 3–014%
- 1–012%
- 4–09%
- 2–18%
- 3–17%
- Other scores34%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 6.1 pts
Team Elo: Brighton 2406 · Universitatea Craiova 1858
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Brighton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.1 (Elite) · Elo 2380
Universitatea Craiova · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 1996
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brighton
2nd in Premier League · 22 pts from 10
- 8 NovWBrentford Premier League2424
- 5 NovWGetafe UEFA Conference League2313
- 31 OctWManchester City Premier League2389
- 28 OctDManchester City England League Cup2271
- 25 OctLLiverpool Premier League2409
Universitatea Craiova
1st in Liga I · 33 pts from 15
- 8 NovDCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1882
- 5 NovWEgnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Conference League1882
- 1 NovWFC Botosani Liga I1900
- 26 OctWSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1882
- 22 OctWInter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League1860
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 3 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 7 /3 | 13.7 | 81.8 | 18.2 | 0.0 |
| Universitatea Craiova | 7 /3 | 10.3 | 18.7 | 80.8 | 0.5 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brighton: balanced profile (how Fabian Hürzeler plays) · Universitatea Craiova: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Filipe Coelho plays)