UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
Brighton 4–0 Kauno Žalgiris
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · American Express Stadium, Falmer
BrightonTeam 2255
Kauno ŽalgirisTeam 1542Match story
Brighton · draw · Kauno ŽalgirisBefore kick-off: 91% · 6% · 2%
Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- G. Rutter 41', 53'
- J. Hinshelwood 45+2'
- M. O'Riley 67'
We gave Brighton 91% to win: they did.
- 12'F. Ourega 1510 −13*
Kauno Žalgiris:F. Ourega 1510 −13* - G. Rutter 2322 +4 assist I. Osman 1976 −1*41'
Brighton:G. Rutter 2322 +4 assist I. Osman 1976 −1* - J. Hinshelwood 2345 −5* assist G. Rutter 2322 +445+2'
Brighton:J. Hinshelwood 2345 −5* assist G. Rutter 2322 +4 - L. Vuskovic 2376 +2 for L. Dunk 2263 −446'
Brighton:L. Vuskovic 2376 +2 for L. Dunk 2263 −4 - M. De Cuyper 2510 +1 for O. Boscagli 2422 +146'
Brighton:M. De Cuyper 2510 +1 for O. Boscagli 2422 +1 - 46'L. Krekovic 1167 −8* for Leo Ribeiro 1546 −11*
Kauno Žalgiris:L. Krekovic 1167 −8* for Leo Ribeiro 1546 −11* - 46'R. Lekiatas 1510 −1 for F. Ourega 1510 −13*
Kauno Žalgiris:R. Lekiatas 1510 −1 for F. Ourega 1510 −13* - G. Rutter 2322 +4 assist I. Osman 1976 −1*53'
Brighton:G. Rutter 2322 +4 assist I. Osman 1976 −1* - Y. Ayari 2473 +1 for P. Gross 2413 −657'
Brighton:Y. Ayari 2473 +1 for P. Gross 2413 −6 - P. David 2154 −7* for J. Hinshelwood 2345 −5*57'
Brighton:P. David 2154 −7* for J. Hinshelwood 2345 −5* - 57'A. Kalik 1673 −10* for F. Baldassarra 1542 −9*
Kauno Žalgiris:A. Kalik 1673 −10* for F. Baldassarra 1542 −9* - 57'G. Debeljuh 1501 −9* for Renan Oliveira 1578 −9*
Kauno Žalgiris:G. Debeljuh 1501 −9* for Renan Oliveira 1578 −9* - 61'V. Slivka 1552 −4 for A. Benchaib 1548 −9*
Kauno Žalgiris:V. Slivka 1552 −4 for A. Benchaib 1548 −9* - Y. Ibrahim 1090 −2* for I. Osman 1976 −1*67'
Brighton:Y. Ibrahim 1090 −2* for I. Osman 1976 −1* - M. O'Riley 2267 −3* assist Y. Ibrahim 1090 −2*67'
Brighton:M. O'Riley 2267 −3* assist Y. Ibrahim 1090 −2*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 91% · 6% · 2%(Brighton · draw · Kauno Žalgiris)
Our most likely score was 4–0 (10%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Brighton €19.5M, Kauno Žalgiris €373K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Europa Conference League League Stage - 1: 795 points.
- Draw chance was 5%, below the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
- Brighton were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brighton
3rd in Premier League · 13 pts from 6
- 10 OctWSunderland Premier League2384
- 19 SepWArsenal Premier League2309
- 16 SepWManchester United England League Cup2153
- 13 SepWCoventry Premier League2237
- 5 SepDLeeds Premier League2246
Kauno Žalgiris
1st in A Lyga · 51 pts from 28
- 27 AugWBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League1519
- 20 AugLBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League1518
- 11 AugLDinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League1515
- 4 AugLDinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League1527
- 29 JulWKI Klaksvik UEFA Champions League1549
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 0 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 0 /0 | 13.9 | 83.2 | 16.4 | 0.3 |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 0 /0 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 23.4 | 75.9 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Brighton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2418

Kauno Žalgiris · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1613
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.