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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Bournemouth 3–0 Sturm Graz

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Bournemouth crestBournemouthTeam 2206
3–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Sturm Graz crestSturm GrazTeam 1753

Match story

Bournemouth · draw · Sturm Graz

Before kick-off: 79% · 14% · 7%

Live chances: Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 79%, draw 14%, Sturm Graz 7%2' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 79%, draw 14%, Sturm Graz 7%3' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 78%, draw 14%, Sturm Graz 7%4' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 78%, draw 14%, Sturm Graz 7%5' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 78%, draw 15%, Sturm Graz 7%6' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 78%, draw 15%, Sturm Graz 7%7' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 78%, draw 15%, Sturm Graz 7%8' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 77%, draw 15%, Sturm Graz 8%9' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 77%, draw 15%, Sturm Graz 8%10' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 77%, draw 16%, Sturm Graz 8%11' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 76%, draw 16%, Sturm Graz 8%12' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 76%, draw 16%, Sturm Graz 8%13' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 76%, draw 16%, Sturm Graz 8%14' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 76%, draw 16%, Sturm Graz 8%15' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 75%, draw 17%, Sturm Graz 8%16' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 75%, draw 17%, Sturm Graz 8%17' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 75%, draw 17%, Sturm Graz 8%18' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 74%, draw 17%, Sturm Graz 8%19' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 74%, draw 17%, Sturm Graz 8%20' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 74%, draw 18%, Sturm Graz 9%21' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 74%, draw 18%, Sturm Graz 9%22' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sturm Graz 9%23' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sturm Graz 9%24' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 19%, Sturm Graz 9%25' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 72%, draw 19%, Sturm Graz 9%26' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 72%, draw 19%, Sturm Graz 9%27' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 72%, draw 19%, Sturm Graz 9%28' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 71%, draw 20%, Sturm Graz 9%29' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 71%, draw 20%, Sturm Graz 9%30' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 90%, draw 8%, Sturm Graz 2%31' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 70%, draw 21%, Sturm Graz 9%32' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 70%, draw 21%, Sturm Graz 9%33' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 69%, draw 21%, Sturm Graz 10%34' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 69%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 10%35' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 68%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 10%36' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 68%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 10%37' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 68%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 10%38' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 67%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 10%39' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 67%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 10%40' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 66%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz 10%41' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 66%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz 10%42' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 65%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz 10%43' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 65%, draw 25%, Sturm Graz 10%44' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%45' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%45+1' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%45+2' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%HT · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%46' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%47' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%48' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%49' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%50' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%51' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 2%52' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%53' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%54' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%55' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 88%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%56' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 88%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%57' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 88%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%58' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 88%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%59' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 88%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%60' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 88%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%61' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 88%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%62' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 88%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%63' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 88%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 2%64' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%65' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%66' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%67' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%68' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%69' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%70' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%71' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%72' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%73' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%74' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 89%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%75' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 90%, draw 10%, Sturm Graz 1%76' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 90%, draw 9%, Sturm Graz 1%77' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 0%78' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 0%79' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 0%80' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 0%81' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 0%82' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%83' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%84' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%85' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%86' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%87' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%88' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%89' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%90' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%90+3' · 3–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%90+4' · 3–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%90+5' · 3–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bournemouth 79% to win: they did.

  1. 14'Bournemouth:Francisco Evanilson 2316 +7
  2. 41'Sturm Graz:Belmin Beganovic 1553 −8*
  3. 43'Bournemouth:Francisco Evanilson 2316 +7 assist Adam Smith 1972 +9
  4. 58'Bournemouth:Bafode Diakite 2266 −4*
  5. 61'Sturm Graz:Oumar Diakité 1823 −1 for Belmin Beganovic 1553 −8*
  6. 62'Bournemouth:James Hill 2321 +3 for Adam Smith 1972 +9
  7. 66'Bournemouth:Julio Soler 1959 +11
  8. 69'Bournemouth:Ryan Christie 2200 −2 for Tyler Adams 2278 +2
  9. 70'Bournemouth:Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha 2261 +3 for Marcus Tavernier 2332 +2
  10. 70'Bournemouth:Justin Kluivert 2292 −6* for Francisco Evanilson 2316 +7
  11. 75'Sturm Graz:Axel Kayombo 1454 0 for Simon Seidl 1840 −2
  12. 75'Sturm Graz:Albert Vallci 1939 −11* for Petar Petrović 1554 0
  13. 75'Sturm Graz:Julian Halwachs 1348 0 for Jacob Peter Hödl 1849 −2
  14. 76'Bournemouth:Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha 2261 +3
  15. 83'Sturm Graz:Paul Koller 1885 0 for Luis Balbo 1822 −1
  16. 84'Bournemouth:Amine Adli 2270 −8* for Ben Gannon-Doak 2067 +7
  17. 85'Sturm Graz:Julian Halwachs 1348 0
  18. 87'Sturm Graz:Albert Vallci 1939 −11*
  19. 90+2'Bournemouth:Álvaro Rodríguez 2022 +22 (pen.)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2
GĐ. Petrović2338+3
DA. Smith1972+9
DAntónio Silva2307+10
DB. Diakité2266−4*
DJ. Soler1959+11
MM. Tavernier2332+2
ML. Cook2282+9
MT. Adams2278+2
MB. Doak2067+7
FÁ. Rodríguez2022+22
FEvanilson2316+7
CM. Rose2197+10
GD. Khudyakov1945−5
DA. Malic1885−4
DJ. Quarshie1897−4
DP. Petrović15540
DL. Balbo1822−1
MJ. Heil1877−13*
MJ. Gorenc Stankovič1923−8
MV. Matoshi1833−2
MJacob Peter Hödl1849−2
FS. Seidl1840−2
FB. Beganović1553−8*
CF. Ingolitsch1924−9
Before kick-off: 79% · 14% · 7%(Bournemouth · draw · Sturm Graz)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 3–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bournemouth €19.8M, Sturm Graz €1.3M.
  • Bournemouth were without 1 expected starter: A. Scott (2431).
  • Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Europa League League Stage - 2: 373 points.
  • Draw chance was 17%, below the UEFA Europa League average of 25% this round.
  • Bundesliga: D. Khudyakov was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1950).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bournemouth

18th in Premier League · 3 pts from 6

  • 10 OctLChelsea 2269
  • 20 SepLLiverpool 2299
  • 17 SepWReal Sociedad 2289
  • 12 SepDBrentford 2291
  • 8 SepWLincoln 2173

Sturm Graz

4th in Bundesliga · 14 pts from 8

  • 10 OctWAustria Vienna 1851
  • 20 SepLRed Bull Salzburg 1835
  • 16 SepDRennes 1832
  • 13 SepWLask Linz 1870
  • 30 AugLRapid Vienna 1809

League phase outlook

From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Bournemouth3 /117.580.718.90.4
Sturm Graz1 /18.21.838.859.5

Full league phase and chances: Europa League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

T. Adams
T. Adams

Bournemouth · +3.0 (Good) · Elo 2275

J. Gorenc Stankovič
J. Gorenc Stankovič

Sturm Graz · +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1930

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Marco Rose

Coach DNA: possession-based

Fabio Ingolitsch

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bournemouth: direct (how Marco Rose plays) · Sturm Graz: balanced profile (how Fabio Ingolitsch plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.