UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 4
Borac Banja Luka vs Atalanta
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Gradski stadion Banja Luka, Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka host Atalanta on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Borac Banja Luka 10%, draw 17%, Atalanta 73%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Borac Banja Luka €382K, Atalanta €15.4M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Europa Conference League League Stage - 4: 574 points.
- Draw chance 17%, below the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
- Premijer Liga: M. Jurkas is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1696).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Borac Banja Luka goals first.
- 0–213%
- 0–111%
- 0–310%
- 1–29%
- 1–18%
- 1–37%
- Other scores42%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 5.2 pts
Team Elo: Borac Banja Luka 1591 · Atalanta 2165
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Borac Banja Luka · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1650
Atalanta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2244
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Borac Banja Luka
2nd in Premijer Liga · 31 pts from 12
- 8 NovWRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1556
- 5 NovLMjallby AIF UEFA Conference League1634
- 31 OctWČelik Bosnia Premijer Liga1593
- 25 OctWSloga Doboj Bosnia Premijer Liga1504
- 22 OctWKuPS UEFA Conference League1592
Atalanta
12th in Serie A · 14 pts from 11
- 8 NovWMonza Serie A2159
- 5 NovDKairat Almaty UEFA Conference League2071
- 2 NovLParma Serie A2148
- 29 OctDFiorentina Serie A2145
- 25 OctDFrosinone Serie A2146
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 3 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borac Banja Luka | 3 /3 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 40.5 | 59.3 |
| Atalanta | 4 /3 | 11.3 | 43.8 | 55.6 | 0.6 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Borac Banja Luka: balanced profile (how Vinko Marinović plays) · Atalanta: balanced profile (how Maurizio Sarri plays)