Serie A · Regular Season - 10
Bologna vs Monza
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Bologna host Monza on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bologna 56%, draw 25%, Monza 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bologna €10.0M, Monza €3.8M.
- All 11 of Bologna's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bologna goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Bologna 2109 · Monza 1913
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bologna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.3 (Good) · Elo 2181
Monza · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1993
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bologna
14th in Serie A · 5 pts from 7
- 17 OctLInter Serie A2100
- 11 OctWLecce Serie A2107
- 19 SepDTorino Serie A2114
- 13 SepLNapoli Serie A2102
- 6 SepDSassuolo Serie A2125
Monza
15th in Serie A · 4 pts from 6
- 11 OctLLazio Serie A1964
- 18 SepWSassuolo Serie A1908
- 13 SepLLecce Serie A1928
- 6 SepDParma Serie A1884
- 29 AugLUdinese Serie A1895
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 5 /7 | 47.9 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 11th |
| Monza | 4 /6 | 32.3 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bologna: balanced profile (how Domenico Tedesco plays) · Monza: balanced profile (how Ivan Jurić plays)