NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Bologna 1–3 Inter

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Bologna crestBolognaTeam 2047
1–3
Full time
HT 1–1
Inter crestInterTeam 2417

Match story

Bologna · draw · Inter

Before kick-off: 14% · 20% · 66%

Live chances: Bologna 0%, draw 0%, Inter 100% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Bologna 14%, draw 20%, Inter 65%2' · 0–0 · Bologna 14%, draw 20%, Inter 65%4' · 0–0 · Bologna 15%, draw 20%, Inter 65%5' · 0–0 · Bologna 15%, draw 21%, Inter 65%6' · 0–0 · Bologna 15%, draw 21%, Inter 65%7' · 0–0 · Bologna 15%, draw 21%, Inter 64%8' · 0–0 · Bologna 15%, draw 21%, Inter 64%9' · 0–0 · Bologna 15%, draw 21%, Inter 64%10' · 0–0 · Bologna 15%, draw 21%, Inter 64%11' · 1–0 · Bologna 34%, draw 25%, Inter 41%12' · 1–0 · Bologna 34%, draw 25%, Inter 40%13' · 1–0 · Bologna 35%, draw 25%, Inter 40%14' · 1–0 · Bologna 35%, draw 25%, Inter 40%15' · 1–0 · Bologna 35%, draw 26%, Inter 39%16' · 1–0 · Bologna 35%, draw 26%, Inter 39%17' · 1–0 · Bologna 36%, draw 26%, Inter 39%18' · 1–0 · Bologna 36%, draw 26%, Inter 38%19' · 1–0 · Bologna 36%, draw 26%, Inter 38%20' · 1–0 · Bologna 36%, draw 26%, Inter 38%21' · 1–0 · Bologna 37%, draw 26%, Inter 37%22' · 1–0 · Bologna 37%, draw 26%, Inter 37%23' · 1–0 · Bologna 37%, draw 26%, Inter 36%24' · 1–0 · Bologna 38%, draw 27%, Inter 36%25' · 1–0 · Bologna 38%, draw 27%, Inter 36%26' · 1–0 · Bologna 38%, draw 27%, Inter 35%27' · 1–0 · Bologna 38%, draw 27%, Inter 35%28' · 1–0 · Bologna 39%, draw 27%, Inter 34%29' · 1–0 · Bologna 39%, draw 27%, Inter 34%30' · 1–0 · Bologna 39%, draw 27%, Inter 34%31' · 1–0 · Bologna 40%, draw 27%, Inter 33%32' · 1–0 · Bologna 40%, draw 27%, Inter 33%33' · 1–0 · Bologna 40%, draw 28%, Inter 32%34' · 1–0 · Bologna 41%, draw 28%, Inter 32%35' · 1–0 · Bologna 41%, draw 28%, Inter 31%36' · 1–0 · Bologna 41%, draw 28%, Inter 31%37' · 1–0 · Bologna 42%, draw 28%, Inter 31%38' · 1–0 · Bologna 42%, draw 28%, Inter 30%39' · 1–0 · Bologna 42%, draw 28%, Inter 30%40' · 1–0 · Bologna 43%, draw 28%, Inter 29%41' · 1–0 · Bologna 43%, draw 28%, Inter 29%42' · 1–0 · Bologna 43%, draw 28%, Inter 28%44' · 1–0 · Bologna 44%, draw 29%, Inter 27%45' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 29%, Inter 54%45+1' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 30%, Inter 53%45+2' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 30%, Inter 53%45+3' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 30%, Inter 52%HT · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 31%, Inter 52%46' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 31%, Inter 52%48' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 31%, Inter 51%49' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 32%, Inter 51%50' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 32%, Inter 50%51' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 33%, Inter 50%52' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 33%, Inter 49%53' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 34%, Inter 49%54' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 35%, Inter 48%55' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 35%, Inter 48%56' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 36%, Inter 47%57' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 37%, Inter 46%58' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 37%, Inter 46%59' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 38%, Inter 45%60' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 39%, Inter 44%61' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 39%, Inter 44%62' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 40%, Inter 43%63' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 41%, Inter 43%64' · 1–1 · Bologna 17%, draw 41%, Inter 42%65' · 1–1 · Bologna 16%, draw 42%, Inter 41%66' · 1–1 · Bologna 16%, draw 43%, Inter 41%67' · 1–1 · Bologna 16%, draw 44%, Inter 40%68' · 1–1 · Bologna 16%, draw 45%, Inter 39%69' · 1–1 · Bologna 16%, draw 46%, Inter 38%70' · 1–1 · Bologna 16%, draw 47%, Inter 38%71' · 1–2 · Bologna 3%, draw 16%, Inter 81%72' · 1–2 · Bologna 3%, draw 16%, Inter 82%73' · 1–2 · Bologna 3%, draw 15%, Inter 82%74' · 1–2 · Bologna 3%, draw 15%, Inter 82%75' · 1–2 · Bologna 2%, draw 15%, Inter 83%76' · 1–2 · Bologna 2%, draw 15%, Inter 83%77' · 1–2 · Bologna 2%, draw 15%, Inter 83%78' · 1–2 · Bologna 2%, draw 14%, Inter 84%79' · 1–2 · Bologna 2%, draw 14%, Inter 84%80' · 1–2 · Bologna 2%, draw 14%, Inter 85%81' · 1–2 · Bologna 2%, draw 13%, Inter 85%82' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 1%, Inter 99%83' · 1–2 · Bologna 1%, draw 12%, Inter 86%84' · 1–2 · Bologna 1%, draw 12%, Inter 87%85' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 1%, Inter 99%86' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 1%, Inter 99%87' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 1%, Inter 99%88' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 0%, Inter 99%89' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 0%, Inter 100%90' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 0%, Inter 100%90+1' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 0%, Inter 100%90+2' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 0%, Inter 100%90+3' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 0%, Inter 100%90+4' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 0%, Inter 100%90+5' · 1–3 · Bologna 0%, draw 0%, Inter 100%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Inter 66% to win: they did.

  1. 10'Bologna:Tommaso Pobega 2152 −14 assist Juan Miranda 2225 −9
  2. 30'Bologna:Jay Enem 1648 0 for Roberto Piccoli 2051 0
  3. 34'Bologna:Arthur Theate 2090 −10*
  4. 35'Inter:Pio Esposito 2371 +6
  5. 44'Inter:Marcus Thuram 2450 +16 assist Nicolò Barella 2443 +19
  6. 57'Bologna:Tommaso Pobega 2152 −14
  7. 58'Inter:Ange-Yoan Bonny 2191 +13 for Pio Esposito 2371 +6
  8. 61'Inter:Marcus Thuram 2450 +16
  9. 63'Bologna:Eivind Helland 1895 0 for Arthur Theate 2090 −10*
  10. 69'Inter:Carlos Augusto 2432 +4 for Federico Dimarco 2464 +4
  11. 69'Inter:Andy Diouf 2232 +3 for Luis Henrique 2386 +7
  12. 69'Inter:Carlos Augusto 2432 +4 assist Piotr Zieliński 2384 +17
  13. 71'Bologna:Juan Miranda 2225 −9
  14. 72'Bologna:Federico Bernardeschi 1954 −4
  15. 76'Bologna:Artem Dovbyk 2152 −10* for Nicolo Cambiaghi 2154 −5
  16. 76'Bologna:Nikola Moro 2120 −9* for Tommaso Pobega 2152 −14
  17. 79'Inter:Carlos Augusto 2432 +4
  18. 79'Inter:Hakan Çalhanoğlu 2297 −3 for Piotr Zieliński 2384 +17
  19. 79'Inter:Henrikh Mkhitaryan 2018 −9 for Marcus Thuram 2450 +16
  20. 83'Inter:Ange-Yoan Bonny 2191 +13 assist Carlos Augusto 2432 +4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations3-5-2
GŁ. Skorupski2156−17*
DM. Darmian1878−9
DN. Casale2114−5
DA. Theate2090−10*
MN. Zortea2073−2
ML. Ferguson2181−8
MT. Pobega2152−14
MJuan Miranda2225−9
MF. Bernardeschi1954−4
MN. Cambiaghi2154−5
FR. Piccoli20510
CDomenico Tedesco2287
GJosep Martínez2346+28
DY. Bisseck2468+7
DM. Akanji2527+13
DA. Bastoni2552+11
MLuis Henrique2386+7
MN. Barella2443+19
MP. Zieliński2384+17
MP. Sučić2441+21
MF. Dimarco2464+4
FM. Thuram2450+16
FF. Esposito2371+6
CC. Chivu2441+14
Before kick-off: 14% · 20% · 66%(Bologna · draw · Inter)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–2 (10%); the result 1–3 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bologna €8.9M, Inter €38.0M.
  • Bologna were without 1 expected starter: E. Holm (2221).
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Serie A matchday 7: 277 points.
  • Serie A: A. Bastoni was the highest-rated defender (2541).
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Serie A): Bologna ranked #3 of 20, Inter #20.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bologna

14th in Serie A · 5 pts from 6

  • 11 OctWLecce 2107
  • 19 SepDTorino 2114
  • 13 SepLNapoli 2102
  • 6 SepDSassuolo 2125
  • 31 AugLAtalanta 2114

Inter

1st in Serie A · 16 pts from 6

  • 13 OctLClub Brugge KV 2419
  • 10 OctWParma 2342
  • 19 SepDAS Roma 2417
  • 14 SepWUdinese 2339
  • 8 SepLReal Madrid 2386

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bologna5 /648.70%1%2%10th
Inter16 /681.270%97%0%1st
Bologna
Inter

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

L. Ferguson
L. Ferguson

Bologna · +4.8 (Good) · Elo 2189

M. Akanji
M. Akanji

Inter · +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 2514

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Domenico Tedesco

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Cristian Eugen Chivu

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bologna: balanced profile (how Domenico Tedesco plays) · Inter: possession-based · creative (how Cristian Eugen Chivu plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.