UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt host Lille on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bodo/Glimt 44%, draw 28%, Lille 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bodo/Glimt €5.3M, Lille €13.2M.
- Eliteserien: N. Haikin is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2236).
- Bodo/Glimt's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bodo/Glimt goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Bodo/Glimt 2070 · Lille 2069
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bodo/Glimt · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +9.0 (Elite) · Elo 2267
Lille · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2126
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bodo/Glimt
1st in Eliteserien · 56 pts from 23
- 17 OctWHam-Kam Eliteserien2050
- 14 OctWBorussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League2099
- 10 OctWKristiansund BK Eliteserien2148
- 20 SepLBrann Eliteserien2086
- 14 SepWSandefjord Eliteserien2067
Lille
4th in Ligue 1 · 14 pts from 7
- 17 OctDStade Brestois 29 Ligue 12027
- 13 OctLArsenal UEFA Champions League2126
- 10 OctWLe Havre Ligue 12044
- 20 SepLNice Ligue 12129
- 13 SepWEstac Troyes Ligue 12157
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 3 /2 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 57.4 | 38.4 |
| Lille | 0 /2 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 26.0 | 73.6 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bodo/Glimt: possession-based (how Kjetil Knutsen plays) · Lille: possession-based (how Davide Ancelotti plays)