UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
Bodo/Glimt 1–0 Borussia Dortmund
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata
Bodo/GlimtTeam 2180
Borussia DortmundTeam 2251Match story
Bodo/Glimt · draw · Borussia DortmundBefore kick-off: 40% · 26% · 34%
Last reading, 90+4': 96% · 4% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Fredrik Sjovold 52'
We gave Bodo/Glimt 40% to win: they did.
- 13'Kouakou Joane Gadou 2004 0
Borussia Dortmund:Kouakou Joane Gadou 2004 0 - 25'Fábio Silva 2072 0
Borussia Dortmund:Fábio Silva 2072 0 - Fredrik Sjovold 2261 +26 assist Sondre Auklend 2059 +4852'
Bodo/Glimt:Fredrik Sjovold 2261 +26 assist Sondre Auklend 2059 +48 - 60'Felix Nmecha 2442 −9 for Joey Veerman 2357 −5
Borussia Dortmund:Felix Nmecha 2442 −9 for Joey Veerman 2357 −5 - 60'Ethan Nwaneri 2268 0 for Konstantinos Karetsas 2240 0
Borussia Dortmund:Ethan Nwaneri 2268 0 for Konstantinos Karetsas 2240 0 - 60'Serhou Guirassy 2425 −5 for Fábio Silva 2072 0
Borussia Dortmund:Serhou Guirassy 2425 −5 for Fábio Silva 2072 0 - 60'Julian Ryerson 2444 −5 for Samuele Inácio 1963 −8*
Borussia Dortmund:Julian Ryerson 2444 −5 for Samuele Inácio 1963 −8* - 77'Carney Chukwuemeka 1887 0 for Maximilian Beier 2390 −6
Borussia Dortmund:Carney Chukwuemeka 1887 0 for Maximilian Beier 2390 −6 - Ola Brynhildsen 1874 +3 for Jens Petter Hauge 2188 +2878'
Bodo/Glimt:Ola Brynhildsen 1874 +3 for Jens Petter Hauge 2188 +28
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 40% · 26% · 34%(Bodo/Glimt · draw · Borussia Dortmund)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Bodo/Glimt €5.6M, Borussia Dortmund €30.7M.
- Bodo/Glimt were without 1 expected starter: O. Bjørtuft (2182).
- Borussia Dortmund were without 1 expected starter: N. Schlotterbeck (2399).
- Eliteserien: N. Haikin was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2206).
- Bundesliga: G. Kobel was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2487).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bodo/Glimt
2nd in Eliteserien · 53 pts from 22
- 10 OctWKristiansund BK Eliteserien2148
- 20 SepLBrann Eliteserien2086
- 14 SepWSandefjord Eliteserien2067
- 10 SepLBayern München UEFA Champions League2092
- 4 SepWFredrikstad Eliteserien2093
Borussia Dortmund
2nd in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 5
- 9 OctDWerder Bremen Bundesliga2364
- 19 SepWVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga2361
- 12 SepWSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2306
- 8 SepWVillarreal UEFA Champions League2324
- 5 SepW1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga2255
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 0 /1 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 35.9 | 62.4 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 3 /1 | 13.5 | 30.8 | 61.7 | 7.5 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Bodo/Glimt · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Good) · Elo 2235

Borussia Dortmund · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2430
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bodo/Glimt: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Kjetil Knutsen plays) · Borussia Dortmund: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Niko Kovač plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.