Championship · Regular Season - 14
Blackburn vs Stoke City
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Ewood Park, Blackburn
Blackburn host Stoke City on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Blackburn 36%, draw 29%, Stoke City 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Blackburn €2.1M, Stoke City €2.9M.
- Home advantage makes Blackburn the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Championship): Blackburn rank #3 of 24, Stoke City #22.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Blackburn goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.6 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Blackburn 1902 · Stoke City 1970
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Blackburn · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1944
Stoke City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2127
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Blackburn
10th in Championship · 15 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWest Brom England Championship1936
- 13 OctWBristol City England Championship1906
- 10 OctWCardiff England Championship1894
- 19 SepDPortsmouth England Championship1872
- 12 SepWMillwall England Championship1829
Stoke City
6th in Championship · 19 pts from 11
- 17 OctWDerby England Championship1980
- 13 OctLMiddlesbrough England Championship1986
- 10 OctWBolton England Championship1975
- 19 SepWSheffield Utd England Championship1938
- 12 SepWWatford England Championship1904
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 15 /11 | 56.6 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 18th |
| Stoke City | 19 /11 | 67.1 | 1% | 11% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Blackburn: balanced profile (how Tony Mowbray plays) · Stoke City: balanced profile (how Mark Gordon Robins plays)