UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar), Alkmaar
AZ AlkmaarTeam 2069
Hapoel Beer ShevaTeam 1820Match story
AZ Alkmaar · draw · Hapoel Beer ShevaBefore kick-off: 63% · 23% · 14%
Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Peer Koopmeiners 49'
- Mexx Meerdink 77' (pen)
- Forson Amankwah 55'
We gave AZ Alkmaar 63% to win: they did.
- 39'Pedro Miguel Santos Amador 1887 −4
Hapoel Beer Sheva:Pedro Miguel Santos Amador 1887 −4 - Seiya Maikuma 2042 −3*45'
AZ Alkmaar:Seiya Maikuma 2042 −3* - Peer Koopmeiners 2149 +15 assist Valdemar Byskov Andreasen 1986 +20*49'
AZ Alkmaar:Peer Koopmeiners 2149 +15 assist Valdemar Byskov Andreasen 1986 +20* - 52'Eilel Peretz 1966 −6
Hapoel Beer Sheva:Eilel Peretz 1966 −6 - Ayoub Oufkir 1813 +1052'
AZ Alkmaar:Ayoub Oufkir 1813 +10 - 53'Miguel Vitor 1677 −10 for Idan Nachmias 1810 −2
Hapoel Beer Sheva:Miguel Vitor 1677 −10 for Idan Nachmias 1810 −2 - 55'Forson Amankwah 1903 −10 assist zahi ahmed 1804 0
Hapoel Beer Sheva:Forson Amankwah 1903 −10 assist zahi ahmed 1804 0 - Denso Kasius 2108 +2 for Seiya Maikuma 2042 −3*61'
AZ Alkmaar:Denso Kasius 2108 +2 for Seiya Maikuma 2042 −3* - Calvin Stengs 2155 +1 for Ayoub Oufkir 1813 +1061'
AZ Alkmaar:Calvin Stengs 2155 +1 for Ayoub Oufkir 1813 +10 - 62'Javon East 1717 −3 for Mohamad Abu Rumi 1666 0
Hapoel Beer Sheva:Javon East 1717 −3 for Mohamad Abu Rumi 1666 0 - 62'Niv·Yehoshua 1739 −8* for Eilel Peretz 1966 −6
Hapoel Beer Sheva:Niv·Yehoshua 1739 −8* for Eilel Peretz 1966 −6 - 76'Djibril diop 1815 −1
Hapoel Beer Sheva:Djibril diop 1815 −1 - Mexx Meerdink 2150 +2 for Bendegúz Kovács 1738 +1576'
AZ Alkmaar:Mexx Meerdink 2150 +2 for Bendegúz Kovács 1738 +15 - Mateo Chávez 2117 +1 for Mees de Wit 2051 0*76'
AZ Alkmaar:Mateo Chávez 2117 +1 for Mees de Wit 2051 0* - Mexx Meerdink 2150 +2 (pen.)77'
AZ Alkmaar:Mexx Meerdink 2150 +2 (pen.) - 78'Adrián Ugarriza 1631 −9* for Igor Zlatanović 1938 −5
Hapoel Beer Sheva:Adrián Ugarriza 1631 −9* for Igor Zlatanović 1938 −5 - Calvin Stengs 2155 +178'
AZ Alkmaar:Calvin Stengs 2155 +1 - 78'João Victor 1730 0 for zahi ahmed 1804 0
Hapoel Beer Sheva:João Victor 1730 0 for zahi ahmed 1804 0 - Denso Kasius 2108 +283'
AZ Alkmaar:Denso Kasius 2108 +2 - Weslley Pinto Batista 2102 0 for Ro Zangelo Daal 2149 +1286'
AZ Alkmaar:Weslley Pinto Batista 2102 0 for Ro Zangelo Daal 2149 +12 - 90+1'Adrián Ugarriza 1631 −9*
Hapoel Beer Sheva:Adrián Ugarriza 1631 −9*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 63% · 23% · 14%(AZ Alkmaar · draw · Hapoel Beer Sheva)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the result 2–1 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: AZ Alkmaar €3.7M, Hapoel Beer Sheva €1.6M.
- Ligat Ha'al: G. Mizrahi was the highest-rated defender (1997).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AZ Alkmaar
3rd in Eredivisie · 19 pts from 8
- 10 OctLFeyenoord Eredivisie2093
- 20 SepWTelstar Eredivisie2111
- 16 SepLSunderland UEFA Europa League2090
- 11 SepDWillem II Eredivisie2127
- 6 SepWHeerenveen Eredivisie2114
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4th in Ligat Ha'al · 13 pts from 6
- 10 OctWIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1799
- 19 SepWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1772
- 16 SepDDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League1789
- 13 SepWHapoel Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1691
- 7 SepLMaccabi Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1790
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 0 /1 | 11.6 | 15.8 | 65.8 | 18.4 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 /1 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 19.2 | 80.4 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

AZ Alkmaar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2137

Hapoel Beer Sheva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1972
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AZ Alkmaar: balanced profile (how Leeroy Echteld plays) · Hapoel Beer Sheva: creative (how Ran Kozuch plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.