UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 5
Atletico Madrid vs Viking
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid
Atletico Madrid host Viking on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atletico Madrid 80%, draw 13%, Viking 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atletico Madrid €31.3M, Viking €2.6M.
- Draw chance 13%, below the UEFA Champions League average of 22% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atletico Madrid goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–010%
- 2–18%
- 3–18%
- 4–08%
- 1–07%
- Other scores48%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com3–0expected 1.2 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.5 pts
Team Elo: Atletico Madrid 2390 · Viking 1919
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico Madrid · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2446
Viking · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.6 (Elite) · Elo 1969
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico Madrid
3rd in La Liga · 28 pts from 12
- 8 NovLBarcelona La Liga2400
- 3 NovLBayern München UEFA Champions League2423
- 31 OctWLevante La Liga2423
- 24 OctWDeportivo La Coruna La Liga2407
- 20 OctDVfB Stuttgart UEFA Champions League2408
Viking
1st in Eliteserien · 62 pts from 26
- 8 NovWKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1864
- 4 NovWSabah FA UEFA Champions League1930
- 30 OctLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1967
- 25 OctWTromso Eliteserien1950
- 21 OctLAston Villa UEFA Champions League1921
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 4 /4 | 11.8 | 6.1 | 82.8 | 11.2 |
| Viking | 4 /4 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 21.1 | 78.8 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico Madrid: possession-based (how D. Simeone plays) · Viking: balanced profile (how B. Aarsheim plays)