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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

Atletico Madrid 2–0 Manchester United

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid

Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridTeam 2368
2–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Manchester United crestManchester UnitedTeam 2328

Match story

Atletico Madrid · draw · Manchester United

Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 25%

Live chances: Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Atletico Madrid 48%, draw 27%, Manchester United 25%2' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%3' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%4' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%5' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%6' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%7' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%8' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%9' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%10' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%11' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%12' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%13' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%14' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%15' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%16' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%17' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 17%, Manchester United 9%18' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 9%19' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%20' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%21' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%22' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%23' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%24' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%25' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%26' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%27' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%28' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%29' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%30' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%31' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%32' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 8%33' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%34' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%35' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%36' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%37' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%38' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%39' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%40' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%41' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%42' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%43' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 7%44' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 94%, draw 5%, Manchester United 1%45' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 94%, draw 5%, Manchester United 1%45+1' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 6%45+2' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 75%, draw 18%, Manchester United 6%HT · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 76%, draw 18%, Manchester United 6%47' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 76%, draw 18%, Manchester United 6%48' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 76%, draw 18%, Manchester United 6%49' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 76%, draw 18%, Manchester United 6%50' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 76%, draw 18%, Manchester United 6%51' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 76%, draw 18%, Manchester United 5%52' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 76%, draw 18%, Manchester United 5%53' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 77%, draw 18%, Manchester United 5%54' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 77%, draw 18%, Manchester United 5%55' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 77%, draw 18%, Manchester United 5%56' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 77%, draw 18%, Manchester United 5%57' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 77%, draw 18%, Manchester United 5%58' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 78%, draw 18%, Manchester United 4%59' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 78%, draw 18%, Manchester United 4%60' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 78%, draw 18%, Manchester United 4%61' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 78%, draw 18%, Manchester United 4%63' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 79%, draw 17%, Manchester United 4%64' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 79%, draw 17%, Manchester United 4%65' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 79%, draw 17%, Manchester United 3%67' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 80%, draw 17%, Manchester United 3%68' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 80%, draw 17%, Manchester United 3%69' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 81%, draw 16%, Manchester United 3%71' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 81%, draw 16%, Manchester United 3%72' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 82%, draw 16%, Manchester United 3%73' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 82%, draw 15%, Manchester United 2%74' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 83%, draw 15%, Manchester United 2%75' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 89%, draw 10%, Manchester United 1%76' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 90%, draw 10%, Manchester United 1%77' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 90%, draw 9%, Manchester United 1%78' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 90%, draw 9%, Manchester United 1%79' · 1–0 · Atletico Madrid 90%, draw 9%, Manchester United 1%80' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 99%, draw 1%, Manchester United 0%81' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%82' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%83' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%84' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%85' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%86' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%87' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%88' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%89' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%90' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%90+3' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%90+4' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%90+5' · 2–0 · Atletico Madrid 100%, draw 0%, Manchester United 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Atletico Madrid 48% to win: they did.

  1. 1'Atletico Madrid:Pablo Barrios Rivas 2400 +21 assist Alejandro Baena Rodríguez 2534 +15
  2. 37'Atletico Madrid:Diego Pablo Simeone 2447 +10
  3. 52'Manchester United:Marcus Rashford 2480 −11
  4. 60'Atletico Madrid:Marc Pubill 2419 +10 for Pablo Barrios Rivas 2400 +21
  5. 61'Atletico Madrid:Jonathan David 2299 +5 for Lee Kang-In 2410 +7
  6. 66'Manchester United:Amad Diallo 2395 −2 for Marcus Rashford 2480 −11
  7. 66'Manchester United:Mason Mount 2259 −8* for Carlos Baleba 2289 −1
  8. 66'Manchester United:Joshua Zirkzee 2204 0 for Youri Tielemans 2465 −10
  9. 71'Atletico Madrid:Morten Hjulmand 2399 +2 for Julián Álvarez 2371 +10
  10. 71'Atletico Madrid:Ademola Lookman 2343 +6 for Alejandro Baena Rodríguez 2534 +15
  11. 74'Manchester United:Leny Yoro 2322 −3
  12. 79'Atletico Madrid:Ademola Lookman 2343 +6
  13. 80'Manchester United:Matheus Cunha 2382 −1 for Bruno Fernandes 2411 −12
  14. 80'Manchester United:Harry Maguire 2307 −5 for Ayden Heaven 1965 0
  15. 88'Atletico Madrid:Robin Le Normand 2385 −2
  16. 88'Atletico Madrid:Robin Le Normand 2385 −2 for Giuliano Simeone Baldini 2447 +10

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Oblak2383+32
DMarcos Llorente2397+29
DC. Romero2446+27
DD. Hancko2469+25
DÁlex Grimaldo2386+31
MG. Simeone2447+10
MPablo Barrios2400+21
MJ. Cardoso2322+16
MÁlex Baena2534+15
FLee Kang-In2410+7
FJ. Álvarez2371+10
CD. Simeone2403+22
GS. Lammens2416−9
DL. Yoro2322−3
DA. Heaven19650
DLisandro Martínez2391−9
DDiogo Dalot2408−9
MC. Baleba2289−1
MAndrey Santos2357−24*
MBruno Fernandes2411−12
MY. Tielemans2465−10
MM. Rashford2480−11
FB. Mbeumo2415−9
CM. Carrick2298−3
Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 25%(Atletico Madrid · draw · Manchester United)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Atletico Madrid €30.1M, Manchester United €33.1M.
  • Manchester United were without 2 expected starters: L. Shaw (2398) and K. Mainoo (2427).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Atletico Madrid

2nd in La Liga · 19 pts from 8

  • 10 OctWAlaves 2348
  • 20 SepWReal Madrid 2353
  • 16 SepWOsasuna 2327
  • 13 SepWReal Sociedad 2344
  • 9 SepLLiverpool 2350

Manchester United

13th in Premier League · 6 pts from 6

  • 10 OctDTottenham 2404
  • 20 SepDFulham 2414
  • 16 SepLBrighton 2242
  • 13 SepLManchester City 2419
  • 10 SepWSabah FA 2382

League phase outlook

From the Champions League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Atletico Madrid0 /112.118.866.714.5
Manchester United3 /113.128.662.68.8

Full league phase and chances: Champions League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

C. Romero
C. Romero

Atletico Madrid · +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2419

Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United · +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2422

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Diego Pablo Simeone González

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Michael Carrick

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Atletico Madrid: possession-based (how Diego Pablo Simeone González plays) · Manchester United: creative · shot-heavy (how Michael Carrick plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.