Primera División · Clausura - 16
Atletico Grau vs Cusco
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura
Atletico Grau host Cusco on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atletico Grau 28%, draw 28%, Cusco 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atletico Grau €251K, Cusco €436K.
- All 11 of Cusco's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atletico Grau goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Atletico Grau 1503 · Cusco 1618
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico Grau · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1543
Cusco · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1654
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico Grau
13th in Primera División · 33 pts from 29
- 18 OctLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1503
- 8 OctDClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1478
- 19 SepLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1504
- 13 SepWAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1505
- 6 SepLDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1515
Cusco
7th in Primera División · 45 pts from 29
- 16 OctLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1643
- 11 OctLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1666
- 19 SepWFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1655
- 12 SepLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1667
- 5 SepWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1663
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 33 /29 | 39.1 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 13th |
| Cusco | 45 /29 | 52.6 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico Grau: balanced profile (how G. Ameli plays) · Cusco: possession-based · low-block (how A. Orfila plays)