Primera División · Clausura - 11
Atletico Grau 0–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Thu 8 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura
Atletico GrauTeam 1463Club Deportivo Los ChankasTeam 1476We gave Atletico Grau 36% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%(Atletico Grau · draw · Club Deportivo Los Chankas)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Atletico Grau €251K, Club Deportivo Los Chankas €240K.
- Home advantage made Atletico Grau the favourite: it added 2 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico Grau
13th in Primera División · 32 pts from 27
- 19 SepLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1504
- 13 SepWAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1505
- 6 SepLDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1515
- 21 AugWFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1508
- 14 AugWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1493
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
6th in Primera División · 42 pts from 27
- 30 SepDCienciano Peru Primera Division1531
- 12 SepLFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1555
- 6 SepLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1564
- 29 AugLJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1501
- 23 AugLUniversitario Peru Primera Division1620
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 32 /27 | 40.4 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 13th |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 42 /27 | 51.0 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico Grau · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1559
Club Deportivo Los Chankas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1633
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico Grau: balanced profile (how Gerardo Pablo Ameli plays) · Club Deportivo Los Chankas: balanced profile (how Juan Carlos Bazalar Cruzado plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.