Primera División · Clausura - 13
Atletico Grau vs ADT
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 20:15 UTC · Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura
Atletico Grau host ADT on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atletico Grau 41%, draw 29%, ADT 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atletico Grau €248K, ADT €225K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Primera División): Atletico Grau rank #16 of 18, ADT #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atletico Grau goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Atletico Grau 1502 · ADT 1464
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atletico Grau · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1543
ADT · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1494
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atletico Grau
13th in Primera División · 33 pts from 29
- 18 OctLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1503
- 8 OctDClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1478
- 19 SepLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1504
- 13 SepWAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1505
- 6 SepLDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1515
ADT
17th in Primera División · 26 pts from 29
- 16 OctLClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1446
- 10 OctDFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1470
- 23 SepWCienciano Peru Primera Division1440
- 19 SepLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1501
- 6 SepLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1481
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 33 /29 | 39.0 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 13th |
| ADT | 26 /29 | 31.7 | 0% | 0% | 72% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atletico Grau: balanced profile (how Gerardo Pablo Ameli plays) · ADT: balanced profile (how Víctor Hugo Rivera Coronado plays)