Serie A · Regular Season - 12
Atalanta vs Inter
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Atalanta host Inter on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Atalanta 20%, draw 25%, Inter 55%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Atalanta €14.7M, Inter €32.4M.
- Serie A: M. Akanji is the highest-rated defender (2539).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Serie A): Atalanta rank #4 of 20, Inter #20.
- Inter's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.2 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Atalanta goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–29%
- 1–36%
- 2–26%
- Other scores48%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Atalanta 2165 · Inter 2417
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Atalanta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2244
Inter · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Good) · Elo 2539
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Atalanta
12th in Serie A · 14 pts from 11
- 8 NovWMonza Serie A2159
- 5 NovDKairat Almaty UEFA Conference League2071
- 2 NovLParma Serie A2148
- 29 OctDFiorentina Serie A2145
- 25 OctDFrosinone Serie A2146
Inter
2nd in Serie A · 28 pts from 11
- 8 NovWComo Serie A2433
- 3 NovWFeyenoord UEFA Champions League2419
- 31 OctLAC Milan Serie A2435
- 28 OctWVenezia Serie A2378
- 25 OctWFiorentina Serie A2359
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 14 /11 | 53.8 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 9th |
| Inter | 28 /11 | 85.0 | 70% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Atalanta: balanced profile (how Maurizio Sarri plays) · Inter: possession-based · creative (how C. Chivu plays)