Serie A · Regular Season - 11
AS Roma vs Sassuolo
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadio Olimpico, Rome
AS Roma host Sassuolo on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AS Roma 59%, draw 24%, Sassuolo 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AS Roma €20.1M, Sassuolo €8.2M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Serie A matchday 11: 229 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AS Roma goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.4 pts
Team Elo: AS Roma 2263 · Sassuolo 2034
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AS Roma · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2450
Sassuolo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Good) · Elo 1967
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AS Roma
3rd in Serie A · 17 pts from 7
- 20 OctWSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League2228
- 17 OctWGenoa Serie A2178
- 14 OctLReal Madrid UEFA Champions League2300
- 11 OctDComo Serie A2294
- 19 SepDInter Serie A2341
Sassuolo
13th in Serie A · 8 pts from 7
- 16 OctLFrosinone Serie A2055
- 11 OctDAC Milan Serie A2039
- 18 SepLMonza Serie A2089
- 13 SepWJuventus Serie A2052
- 6 SepDBologna Serie A1961
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 17 /7 | 72.3 | 8% | 75% | 0% | 2nd |
| Sassuolo | 8 /7 | 45.1 | 0% | <1% | 7% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AS Roma: possession-based (how G. Gasperini plays) · Sassuolo: balanced profile (how Alberto Aquilani plays)