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Serie A · Regular Season - 7

AS Roma 2–0 Genoa

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Stadio Olimpico, Rome

AS Roma crestAS RomaTeam 2177
2–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Genoa crestGenoaTeam 1920

Match story

AS Roma · draw · Genoa

Before kick-off: 62% · 23% · 16%

Live chances: AS Roma 100%, draw 0%, Genoa 0% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · AS Roma 61%, draw 23%, Genoa 16%3' · 0–0 · AS Roma 61%, draw 23%, Genoa 16%4' · 0–0 · AS Roma 61%, draw 23%, Genoa 16%5' · 0–0 · AS Roma 61%, draw 23%, Genoa 16%6' · 0–0 · AS Roma 61%, draw 23%, Genoa 16%7' · 0–0 · AS Roma 61%, draw 24%, Genoa 16%8' · 0–0 · AS Roma 60%, draw 24%, Genoa 16%9' · 0–0 · AS Roma 60%, draw 24%, Genoa 16%10' · 0–0 · AS Roma 60%, draw 24%, Genoa 16%11' · 0–0 · AS Roma 60%, draw 24%, Genoa 16%12' · 0–0 · AS Roma 59%, draw 24%, Genoa 16%13' · 0–0 · AS Roma 59%, draw 25%, Genoa 16%14' · 0–0 · AS Roma 59%, draw 25%, Genoa 16%15' · 0–0 · AS Roma 59%, draw 25%, Genoa 16%16' · 0–0 · AS Roma 59%, draw 25%, Genoa 16%17' · 0–0 · AS Roma 58%, draw 25%, Genoa 16%18' · 0–0 · AS Roma 58%, draw 25%, Genoa 17%19' · 0–0 · AS Roma 58%, draw 26%, Genoa 17%20' · 0–0 · AS Roma 58%, draw 26%, Genoa 17%21' · 0–0 · AS Roma 57%, draw 26%, Genoa 17%22' · 0–0 · AS Roma 57%, draw 26%, Genoa 17%23' · 0–0 · AS Roma 57%, draw 26%, Genoa 17%24' · 0–0 · AS Roma 57%, draw 27%, Genoa 17%25' · 0–0 · AS Roma 56%, draw 27%, Genoa 17%26' · 0–0 · AS Roma 56%, draw 27%, Genoa 17%27' · 0–0 · AS Roma 56%, draw 27%, Genoa 17%28' · 0–0 · AS Roma 56%, draw 27%, Genoa 17%29' · 0–0 · AS Roma 55%, draw 28%, Genoa 17%30' · 0–0 · AS Roma 55%, draw 28%, Genoa 17%31' · 0–0 · AS Roma 55%, draw 28%, Genoa 17%32' · 0–0 · AS Roma 54%, draw 28%, Genoa 17%33' · 0–0 · AS Roma 54%, draw 29%, Genoa 17%34' · 0–0 · AS Roma 54%, draw 29%, Genoa 17%35' · 0–0 · AS Roma 54%, draw 29%, Genoa 17%36' · 0–0 · AS Roma 53%, draw 29%, Genoa 17%37' · 0–0 · AS Roma 53%, draw 30%, Genoa 17%38' · 0–0 · AS Roma 53%, draw 30%, Genoa 17%39' · 0–0 · AS Roma 52%, draw 30%, Genoa 17%40' · 0–0 · AS Roma 52%, draw 31%, Genoa 17%41' · 0–0 · AS Roma 52%, draw 31%, Genoa 17%42' · 0–0 · AS Roma 51%, draw 31%, Genoa 18%43' · 0–0 · AS Roma 51%, draw 32%, Genoa 18%44' · 0–0 · AS Roma 51%, draw 32%, Genoa 18%45' · 0–0 · AS Roma 50%, draw 32%, Genoa 18%45+1' · 0–0 · AS Roma 50%, draw 33%, Genoa 18%HT · 0–0 · AS Roma 49%, draw 34%, Genoa 18%46' · 0–0 · AS Roma 49%, draw 34%, Genoa 18%47' · 0–0 · AS Roma 48%, draw 34%, Genoa 18%48' · 0–0 · AS Roma 48%, draw 34%, Genoa 18%49' · 0–0 · AS Roma 48%, draw 35%, Genoa 18%50' · 1–0 · AS Roma 81%, draw 15%, Genoa 4%51' · 1–0 · AS Roma 81%, draw 15%, Genoa 4%52' · 1–0 · AS Roma 81%, draw 15%, Genoa 4%53' · 1–0 · AS Roma 81%, draw 15%, Genoa 4%54' · 1–0 · AS Roma 81%, draw 15%, Genoa 4%55' · 1–0 · AS Roma 81%, draw 15%, Genoa 4%56' · 1–0 · AS Roma 81%, draw 15%, Genoa 4%57' · 1–0 · AS Roma 81%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%58' · 1–0 · AS Roma 82%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%59' · 1–0 · AS Roma 82%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%60' · 1–0 · AS Roma 82%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%61' · 1–0 · AS Roma 82%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%62' · 1–0 · AS Roma 82%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%63' · 1–0 · AS Roma 82%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%64' · 1–0 · AS Roma 82%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%65' · 1–0 · AS Roma 82%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%66' · 1–0 · AS Roma 83%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%67' · 1–0 · AS Roma 83%, draw 15%, Genoa 3%68' · 1–0 · AS Roma 83%, draw 14%, Genoa 2%69' · 2–0 · AS Roma 98%, draw 2%, Genoa 0%70' · 2–0 · AS Roma 98%, draw 2%, Genoa 0%71' · 2–0 · AS Roma 98%, draw 2%, Genoa 0%72' · 2–0 · AS Roma 98%, draw 2%, Genoa 0%73' · 2–0 · AS Roma 98%, draw 2%, Genoa 0%74' · 2–0 · AS Roma 98%, draw 2%, Genoa 0%75' · 2–0 · AS Roma 98%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%76' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%77' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%78' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%79' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%80' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%81' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%82' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%83' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%84' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%85' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%86' · 2–0 · AS Roma 99%, draw 1%, Genoa 0%87' · 2–0 · AS Roma 100%, draw 0%, Genoa 0%88' · 2–0 · AS Roma 100%, draw 0%, Genoa 0%89' · 2–0 · AS Roma 100%, draw 0%, Genoa 0%90' · 2–0 · AS Roma 100%, draw 0%, Genoa 0%90+1' · 2–0 · AS Roma 100%, draw 0%, Genoa 0%90+2' · 2–0 · AS Roma 100%, draw 0%, Genoa 0%90+3' · 2–0 · AS Roma 100%, draw 0%, Genoa 0%90+4' · 2–0 · AS Roma 100%, draw 0%, Genoa 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave AS Roma 62% to win: they did.

  1. 43'AS Roma:Matias Soule 2326 +17
  2. 50'AS Roma:Santiago Thomas Castro 2209 +18*
  3. 51'Genoa:Johan Vásquez 2118 −9
  4. 63'AS Roma:Lorenzo Pellegrini 2164 +6 for Rodrigo Mora 2164 +8
  5. 63'AS Roma:Mario Hermoso 2298 +3 for Konstantinos Koulierakis 2079 +25
  6. 65'Genoa:Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira 2023 −1 for Stephan El Shaarawy 1942 −5
  7. 65'Genoa:Leo Østigård 2112 −9
  8. 68'AS Roma:Emanuele Lulli 2106 +30
  9. 76'AS Roma:Niccolò Pisilli 2229 +9
  10. 78'AS Roma:Wesley Vinícius França Lima 2330 +1 for Emanuele Lulli 2106 +30
  11. 81'Genoa:Mikael Ellertsson 2100 −8
  12. 83'Genoa:Robinho Junior 1556 −9* for Junior Messias 1844 −7
  13. 83'Genoa:Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho 1891 −8* for Morten Frendrup 2074 −6
  14. 88'AS Roma:Daniele Ghilardi 2168 −7* for Devyne Rensch 2254 +8
  15. 88'AS Roma:Alessandro Di Nunzio for Niccolò Pisilli 2229 +9

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations3-4-2-1
GP. Gollini1994+15
DL. Balerdi2268+21
DE. Ndicka2350+15
DK. Koulierakis2079+25
ME. Lulli2106+30
MM. de Roon2025+7
MN. Pisilli2229+9
MD. Rensch2254+8
MM. Soulé2326+17
MRodrigo Mora2164+8
FS. Castro2209+18*
CG. Gasperini2344+11
GJ. Bijlow2132−9
DA. Marcandalli2046−5
DL. Østigård2112−9
DJ. Vásquez2118−9
MM. Ellertsson2100−8
MS. Wiafe15250
MM. Frendrup2074−6
MD. Puczka13130
MJunior Messias1844−7
MS. El Shaarawy1942−5
FM. Osmajić2005−3
CD. De Rossi2075−12
Before kick-off: 62% · 23% · 16%(AS Roma · draw · Genoa)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 2–0 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: AS Roma €18.3M, Genoa €6.4M.
  • AS Roma were without 5 expected starters: M. Svilar (2385), P. Dybala (2253), M. Koné (2450), B. Cristante (2312) and D. Malen (2338).
  • Genoa were without 1 expected starter: D. Sow (2041).
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Serie A matchday 7: 234 points.
  • Style contrast in possession (Serie A): AS Roma ranked #4 of 20, Genoa #17.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

AS Roma

3rd in Serie A · 14 pts from 6

  • 14 OctLReal Madrid 2300
  • 11 OctDComo 2294
  • 19 SepDInter 2341
  • 14 SepWTorino 2282
  • 10 SepDFenerbahçe 2326

Genoa

17th in Serie A · 4 pts from 6

  • 10 OctWFiorentina 1992
  • 20 SepLParma 1999
  • 15 SepWSudtirol 1841
  • 12 SepDFrosinone 2046
  • 4 SepLComo 2050

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
AS Roma14 /671.412%72%0%2nd
Genoa4 /641.90%0%14%16th
AS Roma
Genoa

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

K. Koulierakis
K. Koulierakis

AS Roma · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2054

L. Østigård
L. Østigård

Genoa · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2121

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gian Piero Gasperini

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

Daniele De Rossi

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

AS Roma: possession-based (how Gian Piero Gasperini plays) · Genoa: direct (how Daniele De Rossi plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.