Serie A · Regular Season - 9
AS Roma vs Cagliari
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadio Olimpico, Rome
AS Roma host Cagliari on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AS Roma 63%, draw 22%, Cagliari 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AS Roma €20.2M, Cagliari €5.5M.
- Style contrast in possession (Serie A): AS Roma rank #4 of 20, Cagliari #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AS Roma goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.6 pts
Team Elo: AS Roma 2263 · Cagliari 1994
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AS Roma · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2450
Cagliari · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 (Good) · Elo 2218
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AS Roma
3rd in Serie A · 17 pts from 7
- 17 OctWGenoa Serie A2178
- 14 OctLReal Madrid UEFA Champions League2300
- 11 OctDComo Serie A2294
- 19 SepDInter Serie A2341
- 14 SepWTorino Serie A2282
Cagliari
7th in Serie A · 13 pts from 6
- 11 OctDJuventus Serie A2005
- 19 SepWUdinese Serie A2014
- 12 SepWAtalanta Serie A1964
- 7 SepWLecce Serie A1940
- 3 SepLHellas Verona Italy Coppa Italia1800
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 17 /7 | 72.0 | 9% | 72% | 0% | 2nd |
| Cagliari | 13 /6 | 47.7 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AS Roma: possession-based (how Gian Piero Gasperini plays) · Cagliari: direct (how Fabio Pisacane plays)