NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

Arsenal 3–0 Lille

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Emirates Stadium, London

Arsenal crestArsenalTeam 2554
3–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Lille crestLilleTeam 2088

Match story

Arsenal · draw · Lille

Before kick-off: 80% · 14% · 7%

Live chances: Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Arsenal 79%, draw 14%, Lille 7%2' · 0–0 · Arsenal 79%, draw 14%, Lille 7%3' · 0–0 · Arsenal 79%, draw 14%, Lille 7%4' · 0–0 · Arsenal 79%, draw 14%, Lille 7%5' · 0–0 · Arsenal 79%, draw 14%, Lille 7%6' · 0–0 · Arsenal 78%, draw 15%, Lille 7%7' · 0–0 · Arsenal 78%, draw 15%, Lille 7%8' · 0–0 · Arsenal 78%, draw 15%, Lille 7%9' · 0–0 · Arsenal 78%, draw 15%, Lille 7%10' · 0–0 · Arsenal 77%, draw 15%, Lille 7%11' · 0–0 · Arsenal 77%, draw 15%, Lille 7%12' · 0–0 · Arsenal 77%, draw 16%, Lille 8%13' · 0–0 · Arsenal 77%, draw 16%, Lille 8%14' · 0–0 · Arsenal 76%, draw 16%, Lille 8%15' · 0–0 · Arsenal 76%, draw 16%, Lille 8%16' · 0–0 · Arsenal 76%, draw 17%, Lille 8%17' · 0–0 · Arsenal 75%, draw 17%, Lille 8%18' · 0–0 · Arsenal 75%, draw 17%, Lille 8%19' · 0–0 · Arsenal 75%, draw 17%, Lille 8%20' · 0–0 · Arsenal 74%, draw 17%, Lille 8%21' · 0–0 · Arsenal 74%, draw 18%, Lille 8%22' · 0–0 · Arsenal 74%, draw 18%, Lille 8%23' · 0–0 · Arsenal 73%, draw 18%, Lille 8%24' · 0–0 · Arsenal 73%, draw 18%, Lille 8%25' · 0–0 · Arsenal 73%, draw 19%, Lille 9%26' · 0–0 · Arsenal 72%, draw 19%, Lille 9%27' · 0–0 · Arsenal 72%, draw 19%, Lille 9%28' · 0–0 · Arsenal 72%, draw 19%, Lille 9%29' · 0–0 · Arsenal 71%, draw 20%, Lille 9%30' · 0–0 · Arsenal 71%, draw 20%, Lille 9%31' · 0–0 · Arsenal 71%, draw 20%, Lille 9%32' · 0–0 · Arsenal 70%, draw 21%, Lille 9%33' · 0–0 · Arsenal 70%, draw 21%, Lille 9%34' · 0–0 · Arsenal 69%, draw 21%, Lille 9%35' · 0–0 · Arsenal 69%, draw 22%, Lille 9%36' · 0–0 · Arsenal 69%, draw 22%, Lille 9%37' · 0–0 · Arsenal 68%, draw 22%, Lille 10%38' · 0–0 · Arsenal 68%, draw 23%, Lille 10%39' · 0–0 · Arsenal 67%, draw 23%, Lille 10%40' · 0–0 · Arsenal 67%, draw 23%, Lille 10%41' · 0–0 · Arsenal 66%, draw 24%, Lille 10%42' · 0–0 · Arsenal 66%, draw 24%, Lille 10%43' · 0–0 · Arsenal 65%, draw 25%, Lille 10%44' · 0–0 · Arsenal 65%, draw 25%, Lille 10%45' · 0–0 · Arsenal 64%, draw 25%, Lille 10%45+1' · 0–0 · Arsenal 64%, draw 26%, Lille 10%45+2' · 0–0 · Arsenal 63%, draw 26%, Lille 10%HT · 0–0 · Arsenal 63%, draw 27%, Lille 10%46' · 0–0 · Arsenal 62%, draw 27%, Lille 10%47' · 0–0 · Arsenal 62%, draw 28%, Lille 10%48' · 0–0 · Arsenal 61%, draw 28%, Lille 11%49' · 0–0 · Arsenal 61%, draw 29%, Lille 11%50' · 0–0 · Arsenal 60%, draw 29%, Lille 11%51' · 0–0 · Arsenal 59%, draw 30%, Lille 11%52' · 0–0 · Arsenal 59%, draw 30%, Lille 11%53' · 0–0 · Arsenal 58%, draw 31%, Lille 11%54' · 0–0 · Arsenal 57%, draw 32%, Lille 11%55' · 0–0 · Arsenal 56%, draw 33%, Lille 11%56' · 0–0 · Arsenal 56%, draw 33%, Lille 11%57' · 0–0 · Arsenal 55%, draw 34%, Lille 11%58' · 0–0 · Arsenal 54%, draw 35%, Lille 11%59' · 0–0 · Arsenal 53%, draw 36%, Lille 11%60' · 0–0 · Arsenal 52%, draw 37%, Lille 11%61' · 0–0 · Arsenal 51%, draw 38%, Lille 11%62' · 0–0 · Arsenal 51%, draw 38%, Lille 11%63' · 0–0 · Arsenal 50%, draw 39%, Lille 11%65' · 1–0 · Arsenal 89%, draw 10%, Lille 1%66' · 1–0 · Arsenal 89%, draw 10%, Lille 1%67' · 2–0 · Arsenal 99%, draw 1%, Lille 0%69' · 2–0 · Arsenal 99%, draw 1%, Lille 0%70' · 2–0 · Arsenal 99%, draw 1%, Lille 0%71' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%73' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%74' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%75' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%76' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%77' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%78' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%79' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%80' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%81' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%82' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%83' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%84' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%85' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%86' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%87' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%88' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%89' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%90' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%90+1' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%90+2' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%90+3' · 3–0 · Arsenal 100%, draw 0%, Lille 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Arsenal 80% to win: they did.

  1. 29'Arsenal:Mikel Merino 2582 +1
  2. 64'Arsenal:Jurriën Timber 2649 +8 assist Noni Madueke 2620 +7
  3. 65'Arsenal:Bukayo Saka 2685 +2 for Noni Madueke 2620 +7
  4. 65'Arsenal:Kai Havertz 2552 +3 for Viktor Gyökeres 2555 +2
  5. 65'Arsenal:Martin Odegaard 2662 +2 for Mikel Merino 2582 +1
  6. 67'Arsenal:Eberechi Eze 2637 +8 assist Bukayo Saka 2685 +2
  7. 71'Arsenal:Bukayo Saka 2685 +2 assist Kai Havertz 2552 +3
  8. 72'Lille:Maurits Kjaergaard 1928 0 for Ngal'ayel Mukau 2162 −2
  9. 72'Lille:Osame Sahraoui 2083 0 for Nabil Bentaleb 2131 −5
  10. 78'Lille:Calvin Verdonk 1948 −2 for Romain Perraud 2151 −3
  11. 78'Lille:Olivier Giroud 1542 −15 for Ayase Ueda 2110 −2
  12. 78'Arsenal:Ben White 2619 −1 for Jurriën Timber 2649 +8
  13. 81'Lille:Maxima Goffi 1737 0
  14. 82'Lille:Soriba Diaoune 1770 −8* for Dilane Bakwa 2217 −4
  15. 85'Arsenal:Max Dowman 2259 −7* for Eberechi Eze 2637 +8

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GB. Özer2196−3
DM. Goffi17370
DN. Ngoy2273−6
DAlexsandro Ribeiro2161−3
DR. Perraud2151−3
MN. Bentaleb2131−5
MB. André2003−16*
MD. Bakwa2217−4
MN. Mukau2162−2
MH. Haraldsson2201−4
FA. Ueda2110−2
CDavide Ancelotti2124−3
Before kick-off: 80% · 14% · 7%(Arsenal · draw · Lille)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 3–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Arsenal €51.8M, Lille €12.1M.
  • Arsenal were without 1 expected starter: C. Tzolis (2478).
  • Lille were without 2 expected starters: Tiago Santos (2122) and E. Mbappé (1984).
  • Draw chance was 12%, below the UEFA Champions League average of 23% this round.
  • Premier League: David Raya was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2715).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Arsenal

2nd in Premier League · 15 pts from 6

  • 10 OctWLeeds 2622
  • 19 SepLBrighton 2624
  • 15 SepWIpswich 2412
  • 12 SepWSunderland 2611
  • 9 SepWNapoli 2609

Lille

2nd in Ligue 1 · 13 pts from 6

  • 10 OctWLe Havre 2044
  • 20 SepLNice 2129
  • 13 SepWEstac Troyes 2157
  • 8 SepLReal Betis 2121
  • 3 SepWToulouse 2062

League phase outlook

From the Champions League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Arsenal3 /118.387.212.80.1
Lille0 /17.40.831.268.0

Full league phase and chances: Champions League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Rice
D. Rice

Arsenal · +6.3 (Good) · Elo 2650

N. Bentaleb
N. Bentaleb

Lille · +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2136

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mikel Arteta

Coach DNA: possession-based

Davide Ancelotti

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Arsenal: creative (how Mikel Arteta plays) · Lille: possession-based (how Davide Ancelotti plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.