UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Anderlecht host Red Bull Salzburg on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Anderlecht 48%, draw 27%, Red Bull Salzburg 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Anderlecht €3.1M, Red Bull Salzburg €2.4M.
- Bundesliga: K. Boma is the highest-rated defender (2030).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Anderlecht goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Anderlecht 1971 · Red Bull Salzburg 1929
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Anderlecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 (Good) · Elo 2032
Red Bull Salzburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1983
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Anderlecht
5th in Pro League · 16 pts from 8
- 22 OctWJagiellonia UEFA Europa League1919
- 15 OctLDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League1930
- 10 OctWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1959
- 19 SepWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1979
- 16 SepLLyon UEFA Europa League1964
Red Bull Salzburg
2nd in Bundesliga · 21 pts from 9
- 22 OctDCelje UEFA Europa League1929
- 18 OctWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1934
- 15 OctLAC Milan UEFA Europa League1955
- 10 OctDGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1939
- 20 SepWSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1910
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 3 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 3 /3 | 9.5 | 2.3 | 63.8 | 33.9 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 4 /3 | 10.4 | 2.8 | 69.9 | 27.3 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Anderlecht: balanced profile (how Vítor Bruno plays) · Red Bull Salzburg: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Danny Röhl plays)