Primera División · Clausura - 14
ADT vs UCV Moquegua
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC
ADT host UCV Moquegua on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: ADT 41%, draw 29%, UCV Moquegua 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ADT €225K, UCV Moquegua €242K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. ADT goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: ADT 1464 · UCV Moquegua 1428
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ADT · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1494
UCV Moquegua · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1546
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ADT
17th in Primera División · 26 pts from 29
- 16 OctLClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1446
- 10 OctDFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1470
- 23 SepWCienciano Peru Primera Division1440
- 19 SepLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1501
- 6 SepLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1481
UCV Moquegua
16th in Primera División · 28 pts from 29
- 18 OctWFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1428
- 8 OctLCienciano Peru Primera Division1404
- 20 SepLJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1443
- 13 SepLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1463
- 5 SepLCusco Peru Primera Division1446
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADT | 26 /29 | 31.7 | 0% | 0% | 72% | 17th |
| UCV Moquegua | 28 /29 | 32.9 | 0% | 0% | 64% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
ADT: balanced profile (how Víctor Hugo Rivera Coronado plays) · UCV Moquegua: balanced profile (how Jaime César Santiago Serna Mozombite plays)