Primera División · Clausura - 16
ADT vs Sporting Cristal
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
ADT host Sporting Cristal on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: ADT 22%, draw 26%, Sporting Cristal 52%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ADT €216K, Sporting Cristal €636K.
- Sporting Cristal have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. ADT goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: ADT 1464 · Sporting Cristal 1675
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ADT · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1494
Sporting Cristal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1671
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ADT
17th in Primera División · 26 pts from 29
- 16 OctLClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1446
- 10 OctDFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1470
- 23 SepWCienciano Peru Primera Division1440
- 19 SepLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1501
- 6 SepLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1481
Sporting Cristal
8th in Primera División · 44 pts from 29
- 18 OctWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1675
- 11 OctWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1673
- 19 SepWAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1654
- 13 SepWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1642
- 6 SepWClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1620
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADT | 26 /29 | 31.7 | 0% | 0% | 73% | 17th |
| Sporting Cristal | 44 /29 | 52.0 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
ADT: balanced profile (how V. Rivera plays) · Sporting Cristal: balanced profile (how R. Mosquera plays)