Primera División · Clausura - 11
ADT 0–0 FC Cajamarca
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Estadio Union Tarma, Tarma
ADTTeam 1435
FC CajamarcaTeam 1436Match story
ADT · draw · FC CajamarcaBefore kick-off: 39% · 25% · 36%
Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 1%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave ADT 39% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 4'Paulo Goyoneche 1327 −12*
FC Cajamarca:Paulo Goyoneche 1327 −12* - 37'Jhon Vega 1373 −9*
FC Cajamarca:Jhon Vega 1373 −9* - Aylton Mazzo 1269 −8*45'
ADT:Aylton Mazzo 1269 −8* - 45'Carlos Gómez 1317 −7*
FC Cajamarca:Carlos Gómez 1317 −7* - Joaquín Pereira 1392 −11*46'
ADT:Joaquín Pereira 1392 −11* - 48'Carlos Meza 1516 −7*
FC Cajamarca:Carlos Meza 1516 −7* - 53'R. Suárez 1362 −7* for Carlos Gómez 1317 −7*
FC Cajamarca:R. Suárez 1362 −7* for Carlos Gómez 1317 −7* - Jhojan Garcilazo for Aylton Mazzo 1269 −8*54'
ADT:Jhojan Garcilazo for Aylton Mazzo 1269 −8* - 62'R. Suárez 1362 −7*
FC Cajamarca:R. Suárez 1362 −7* - Jonathan Bauman 1301 −15* for Said Peralta 1236 −8*63'
ADT:Jonathan Bauman 1301 −15* for Said Peralta 1236 −8* - Jhair Soto 1599 −8* for Joaquín Pereira 1392 −11*63'
ADT:Jhair Soto 1599 −8* for Joaquín Pereira 1392 −11* - 82'Hairo Camacho 1642 −1 for P. Cejas 1372 −6*
FC Cajamarca:Hairo Camacho 1642 −1 for P. Cejas 1372 −6* - Jerry Navarro 1339 −8* for Alejandro Ramos 1645 −9*82'
ADT:Jerry Navarro 1339 −8* for Alejandro Ramos 1645 −9* - Omar Vidal Ramírez Lozano for John Narváez 1551 −15*82'
ADT:Omar Vidal Ramírez Lozano for John Narváez 1551 −15* - Omar Vidal Ramírez Lozano88'
ADT:Omar Vidal Ramírez Lozano - 90+3'José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez 1157 −12* for José Mauricio Arrasco Calderón 1584 −7*
FC Cajamarca:José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez 1157 −12* for José Mauricio Arrasco Calderón 1584 −7*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 39% · 25% · 36%(ADT · draw · FC Cajamarca)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–0 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: ADT €241K, FC Cajamarca €236K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ADT
16th in Primera División · 25 pts from 27
- 23 SepWCienciano Peru Primera Division1440
- 19 SepLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1501
- 6 SepLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1481
- 30 AugLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1400
- 22 AugLJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1474
FC Cajamarca
15th in Primera División · 27 pts from 27
- 19 SepLCusco Peru Primera Division1492
- 12 SepWClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1480
- 4 SepLCienciano Peru Primera Division1509
- 28 AugWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1491
- 21 AugLAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1453
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADT | 25 /27 | 33.2 | 0% | 0% | 65% | 16th |
| FC Cajamarca | 27 /27 | 35.4 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

ADT · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1505

FC Cajamarca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1590
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
ADT: balanced profile (how Víctor Hugo Rivera Coronado plays) · FC Cajamarca: balanced profile (how Celso Rafael Ayala Gavilán plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.