Serie A · Regular Season - 10
AC Milan vs Inter
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
AC Milan host Inter on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AC Milan 26%, draw 28%, Inter 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AC Milan €25.9M, Inter €38.1M.
- Serie A: M. Maignan is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2486).
- Serie A: A. Bastoni is the highest-rated defender (2552).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Serie A): AC Milan rank #1 of 20, Inter #20.
- Inter's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AC Milan goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: AC Milan 2264 · Inter 2406
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AC Milan · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2354
Inter · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2527
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AC Milan
4th in Serie A · 15 pts from 7
- 18 OctWAtalanta Serie A2271
- 15 OctWRed Bull Salzburg UEFA Europa League2173
- 11 OctDSassuolo Serie A2301
- 20 SepWLecce Serie A2243
- 16 SepLBenfica UEFA Europa League2194
Inter
1st in Serie A · 19 pts from 7
- 17 OctWBologna Serie A2426
- 13 OctLClub Brugge KV UEFA Champions League2419
- 10 OctWParma Serie A2342
- 19 SepDAS Roma Serie A2417
- 14 SepWUdinese Serie A2339
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 15 /7 | 69.3 | 5% | 57% | 0% | 3rd |
| Inter | 19 /7 | 83.5 | 75% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AC Milan: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Ruben Filipe Marques Diogo Amorim plays) · Inter: possession-based · creative (how Cristian Eugen Chivu plays)