UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Prezero Arena, Sinsheim
1899 HoffenheimTeam 2052
BeşiktaşTeam 2189Match story
1899 Hoffenheim · draw · BeşiktaşBefore kick-off: 34% · 28% · 38%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Fisnik Asllani 68'
- Koki Machida 87'
- Amir Murillo 60'
- Oh Hyeon-gyu 72', 79'
We gave Beşiktaş 38% to win: they did.
- Fisnik Asllani 2123 −2523'
1899 Hoffenheim:Fisnik Asllani 2123 −25 - 45'Fabio Miretti 2103 +15 for Orkun Kökçü 2313 +10
Beşiktaş:Fabio Miretti 2103 +15 for Orkun Kökçü 2313 +10 - Tim Lemperle 2111 −3 for Adam Hložek 1983 059'
1899 Hoffenheim:Tim Lemperle 2111 −3 for Adam Hložek 1983 0 - Alexander Prass 2100 −3 for Adam Daghim 1975 059'
1899 Hoffenheim:Alexander Prass 2100 −3 for Adam Daghim 1975 0 - 60'Amir Murillo 2283 +56 assist Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56*
Beşiktaş:Amir Murillo 2283 +56 assist Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56* - Ozan Kabak 2138 −967'
1899 Hoffenheim:Ozan Kabak 2138 −9 - Fisnik Asllani 2123 −25 assist Tim Lemperle 2111 −368'
1899 Hoffenheim:Fisnik Asllani 2123 −25 assist Tim Lemperle 2111 −3 - Nathan De Cat 1872 −8* for Wouter Burger 2101 −672'
1899 Hoffenheim:Nathan De Cat 1872 −8* for Wouter Burger 2101 −6 - Bambasé Conté 1951 0 for Andrej Kramarić 1991 −772'
1899 Hoffenheim:Bambasé Conté 1951 0 for Andrej Kramarić 1991 −7 - 72'Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56* assist Junior Olaitan 2258 +11*
Beşiktaş:Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56* assist Junior Olaitan 2258 +11* - 78'Salih Özcan 2193 +2 for Junior Olaitan 2258 +11*
Beşiktaş:Salih Özcan 2193 +2 for Junior Olaitan 2258 +11* - 79'Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56* assist Ilhan Fakili 1954 +52
Beşiktaş:Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56* assist Ilhan Fakili 1954 +52 - 80'Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56*
Beşiktaş:Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56* - 85'Semih Kılıçsoy 1978 −6* for Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56*
Beşiktaş:Semih Kılıçsoy 1978 −6* for Oh Hyeon-gyu 2220 +56* - Robin Hranáč 2099 −1 for Ozan Kabak 2138 −985'
1899 Hoffenheim:Robin Hranáč 2099 −1 for Ozan Kabak 2138 −9 - Koki Machida 2152 −31 assist Vladimír Coufal 2028 −987'
1899 Hoffenheim:Koki Machida 2152 −31 assist Vladimír Coufal 2028 −9 - Tim Lemperle 2111 −390'
1899 Hoffenheim:Tim Lemperle 2111 −3 - 90'Ridvan Yilmaz 2201 0 for Kassoum Ouattara 2078 +91
Beşiktaş:Ridvan Yilmaz 2201 0 for Kassoum Ouattara 2078 +91 - 90+1'Umit Akdag 1919 −7* for Wilfred Ndidi 2163 +25
Beşiktaş:Umit Akdag 1919 −7* for Wilfred Ndidi 2163 +25 - Koki Machida 2152 −3190+2'
1899 Hoffenheim:Koki Machida 2152 −31
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 34% · 28% · 38%(1899 Hoffenheim · draw · Beşiktaş)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: 1899 Hoffenheim €10.6M, Beşiktaş €8.6M.
- 1899 Hoffenheim were without 2 expected starters: A. Hajdari (2213) and P. Wimmer (2112).
- Beşiktaş were without 2 expected starters: V. Černý (2203) and D. Vlahović (2244).
- Süper Lig: L. Trossard was the highest-rated midfielder (2483).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1899 Hoffenheim
17th in Bundesliga · 3 pts from 5
- 10 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2103
- 20 SepLSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2076
- 17 SepLOFI UEFA Europa League2107
- 12 SepWVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga2076
- 5 SepLBorussia Dortmund Bundesliga2105
Beşiktaş
2nd in Süper Lig · 15 pts from 7
- 11 OctWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig2242
- 20 SepLAmed Turkey Super Lig2223
- 17 SepWMarseille UEFA Europa League2177
- 11 SepWErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig2216
- 5 SepWFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig2215
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 /1 | 10.3 | 7.9 | 59.2 | 32.8 |
| Beşiktaş | 3 /1 | 14.3 | 44.0 | 51.9 | 4.1 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

1899 Hoffenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2163

Beşiktaş · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2483
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1899 Hoffenheim: balanced profile (how Christian Ilzer plays) · Beşiktaş: possession-based (how Vincenzo Italiano plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.