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Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8

Zulte Waregem 0–2 Gent

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Elindus Arena, Waregem

Zulte Waregem crestZulte WaregemTeam 1769
0–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Gent crestGentTeam 1958

Match story

Zulte Waregem · draw · Gent

Before kick-off: 26% · 28% · 46%

Live chances: Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 0%, Gent 100% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 28%, Gent 46%2' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 28%, Gent 46%3' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 28%, Gent 46%4' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 28%, Gent 46%6' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 28%, Gent 45%7' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 29%, Gent 45%8' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 29%, Gent 45%9' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 29%, Gent 45%11' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 29%, Gent 45%12' · 0–0 · Zulte Waregem 26%, draw 29%, Gent 45%13' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 12%, draw 20%, Gent 68%15' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 12%, draw 20%, Gent 68%16' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 11%, draw 20%, Gent 68%17' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 11%, draw 20%, Gent 68%18' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 11%, draw 20%, Gent 68%19' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 11%, draw 20%, Gent 68%20' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 11%, draw 20%, Gent 68%21' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 11%, draw 20%, Gent 69%22' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 11%, draw 21%, Gent 69%24' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 11%, draw 21%, Gent 69%25' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 11%, draw 21%, Gent 69%26' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 10%, draw 21%, Gent 69%28' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 10%, draw 21%, Gent 69%29' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 10%, draw 21%, Gent 69%30' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 10%, draw 21%, Gent 69%31' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 10%, draw 21%, Gent 69%32' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 10%, draw 21%, Gent 69%33' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 10%, draw 21%, Gent 69%35' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 10%, draw 21%, Gent 70%37' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 9%, draw 21%, Gent 70%38' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 9%, draw 21%, Gent 70%40' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 9%, draw 21%, Gent 70%41' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 9%, draw 21%, Gent 70%42' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 9%, draw 21%, Gent 70%43' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 8%, draw 21%, Gent 71%45' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 8%, draw 21%, Gent 71%45+1' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 8%, draw 21%, Gent 71%HT · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 8%, draw 21%, Gent 71%46' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 8%, draw 21%, Gent 71%47' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 8%, draw 21%, Gent 72%48' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 7%, draw 21%, Gent 72%49' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 7%, draw 21%, Gent 72%50' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 7%, draw 21%, Gent 72%51' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 7%, draw 21%, Gent 72%52' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 7%, draw 21%, Gent 73%53' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 7%, draw 21%, Gent 73%54' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 6%, draw 21%, Gent 73%55' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 6%, draw 21%, Gent 73%56' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 6%, draw 20%, Gent 74%57' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 6%, draw 20%, Gent 74%58' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 6%, draw 20%, Gent 74%59' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 5%, draw 20%, Gent 74%60' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 5%, draw 20%, Gent 75%61' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 5%, draw 20%, Gent 75%62' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 5%, draw 20%, Gent 75%63' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 5%, draw 20%, Gent 76%64' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 5%, draw 19%, Gent 76%65' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 4%, draw 19%, Gent 76%66' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 4%, draw 19%, Gent 77%67' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 4%, draw 19%, Gent 77%68' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 4%, draw 19%, Gent 78%69' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 4%, draw 18%, Gent 78%70' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 3%, draw 18%, Gent 78%71' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 3%, draw 18%, Gent 79%72' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 3%, draw 18%, Gent 79%73' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 3%, draw 17%, Gent 80%74' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 3%, draw 17%, Gent 80%75' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 11%, Gent 88%76' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 11%, Gent 88%77' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 11%, Gent 88%78' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 10%, Gent 89%79' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 10%, Gent 89%80' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 10%, Gent 89%81' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 9%, Gent 90%82' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 9%, Gent 90%83' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 9%, Gent 91%84' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 1%, draw 8%, Gent 91%85' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 8%, Gent 92%86' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 8%, Gent 92%87' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 7%, Gent 93%88' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 7%, Gent 93%89' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 6%, Gent 94%90' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 5%, Gent 94%90+1' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 5%, Gent 95%90+2' · 0–1 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 4%, Gent 96%90+3' · 0–2 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 0%, Gent 100%90+4' · 0–2 · Zulte Waregem 0%, draw 0%, Gent 100%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Gent 46% to win: they did.

  1. 12'Gent:I. Cisse –
  2. 62'Gent:M. Dean 1898 +6* for I. Cisse –
  3. 62'Gent:M. Volckaert 1937 +5* for H. Goore 1547 +14*
  4. 66'Zulte Waregem:Z. Atrok 1589 −8* for T. Hedl 1681 −8*
  5. 69'Gent:T. De Vlieger 1988 −4* for M. Delorge 2105 +12*
  6. 74'Zulte Waregem:M. Mbaye 1589 −8*
  7. 78'Zulte Waregem:S. Ujka 1387 −9* for E. Lofolomo 1809 −17*
  8. 87'Gent:E. H. Seck 1642 −5* for M. Sonko 2010 +27*
  9. 87'Gent:A. Omgba 1648 −5* for L. Lopes 2029 +25*
  10. 89'Gent:A. Omgba 1648 −5*
  11. 90+2'Gent:M. Balikwisha 1950 +35* assist M. Dean 1898 +6*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-2-1Formations3-4-2-1
GDavy Roef2105+17*
DMaksim Paskotsi1992+39
DChristian Burgess2189+3*
DSiebe Van der Heyden2126+16*
MHyllarion Goore1547+14*
MMathias Delorge2105+12*
MLeonardo Lopes2029+25*
MTiago Araújo2144+15*
FMichel Ange Balikwisha1950+35*
FMomodou Sonko2010+27*
FIbrahima Cisse1617+29*
CRik De Mil2071
Before kick-off: 26% · 28% · 46%(Zulte Waregem · draw · Gent)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Zulte Waregem €937K, Gent €2.7M.
  • Gent's expected eleven was in form: average +1.8 over 180 days.
  • Gent were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Zulte Waregem

6th in Pro League · 11 pts from 7

  • 19 SepLAnderlecht 1837
  • 13 SepLCharleroi 1804
  • 6 SepWKortrijk 1717
  • 30 AugDKVC Westerlo 1736
  • 22 AugWSK Beveren 1683

Gent

2nd in Pro League · 19 pts from 7

  • 18 SepWStandard Liege 2003
  • 13 SepDGenk 1981
  • 6 SepWCercle Brugge 1980
  • 3 SepWOH Leuven 1957
  • 30 AugWClub Brugge KV 1913

Season outlook

From the Jupiler Pro League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Zulte Waregem11 /746.50%4%1%9th
Gent19 /766.27%89%0%3rd
Zulte Waregem
Gent

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Jupiler Pro League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Kiilerich
J. Kiilerich

Zulte Waregem · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1884

Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo

Gent · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2129

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Michael Beale

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Rik De Mil

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Zulte Waregem: balanced profile (how Michael Beale plays) · Gent: balanced profile (how Rik De Mil plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.