Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 13
Zrinjski vs FK Sarajevo
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, Mostar
Zrinjski host FK Sarajevo on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premijer Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zrinjski 44%, draw 28%, FK Sarajevo 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zrinjski €328K, FK Sarajevo €268K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zrinjski goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Zrinjski 1543 · FK Sarajevo 1515
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Sarajevo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1555
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zrinjski
1st in Premijer Liga · 27 pts from 10
- 18 OctWČelik Bosnia Premijer Liga1549
- 29 AugWFK Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1530
- 30 JulDValur Reykjavik UEFA Conference League1483
- 23 JulLValur Reykjavik UEFA Conference League1536
- 11 AprLFK Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1551
FK Sarajevo
3rd in Premijer Liga · 15 pts from 10
- 17 OctDRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1498
- 29 AugLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1507
- 16 JulLInter Turku UEFA Conference League1561
- 9 JulDInter Turku UEFA Conference League1591
- 3 MayLBorac Banja Luka Bosnia Premijer Liga1526
Season outlook
From the Premijer Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zrinjski | 27 /10 | 71.4 | 48% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| FK Sarajevo | 15 /10 | 58.1 | 2% | 94% | <1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct