Czech Liga · Regular Season - 14
Zlin vs Slovácko
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadion Letna, Zlin
Zlin host Slovácko on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zlin 28%, draw 28%, Slovácko 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zlin €213K, Slovácko €312K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Czech Liga matchday 14: 183 points.
- Zlin's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zlin goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Zlin 1343 · Slovácko 1526
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Zlin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1348
Slovácko · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1596
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zlin
16th in Czech Liga · 1 pts from 11
- 17 OctLPardubice Czech Liga1382
- 9 OctLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1373
- 20 SepDFK Jablonec Czech Liga1360
- 13 SepLHradec Králové Czech Liga1385
- 6 SepLTeplice Czech Liga1384
Slovácko
15th in Czech Liga · 7 pts from 11
- 18 OctLZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1557
- 11 OctWSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1525
- 19 SepDBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1512
- 12 SepLBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1464
- 5 SepDPardubice Czech Liga1466
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlin | 1 /11 | 14.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
| Slovácko | 7 /11 | 27.6 | 0% | 0% | 72% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Zlin: direct (how Pavel Hoftych plays) · Slovácko: balanced profile (how Jan Jelínek plays)