Czech Liga · Regular Season - 10
Zlin 0–1 Slavia Praha
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Letna, Zlin
ZlinTeam 1314Slavia PrahaTeam 1938We gave Slavia Praha 78% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 7% · 14% · 78%(Zlin · draw · Slavia Praha)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (10%); the result 0–1 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Zlin €211K, Slavia Praha €2.2M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Czech Liga matchday 10: 578 points.
- Draw chance was 16%, below the Czech Liga average of 26% this round.
- Czech Liga: J. Markovič was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1993).
- Style contrast in possession (Czech Liga): Zlin ranked #16 of 16, Slavia Praha #4.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zlin
16th in Czech Liga · 1 pts from 9
- 20 SepDFK Jablonec Czech Liga1360
- 13 SepLHradec Králové Czech Liga1385
- 6 SepLTeplice Czech Liga1384
- 29 AugLZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1373
- 22 AugLSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1366
Slavia Praha
1st in Czech Liga · 23 pts from 9
- 20 SepWPlzen Czech Liga1939
- 13 SepWTeplice Czech Liga1852
- 10 SepLLens UEFA Champions League1887
- 5 SepWZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1879
- 30 AugWSparta Praha Czech Liga1850
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlin | 1 /9 | 16.8 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 16th |
| Slavia Praha | 23 /9 | 65.8 | 83% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Zlin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1364
Slavia Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Elite) · Elo 1802
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Zlin: direct (how Pavel Hoftych plays) · Slavia Praha: shot-heavy · creative (how Jindřich Trpišovský plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.