Czech Liga · Regular Season - 12
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadion Letna, Zlin
Zlin host Sigma Olomouc on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zlin 14%, draw 21%, Sigma Olomouc 64%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zlin €222K, Sigma Olomouc €1.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Czech Liga matchday 12: 425 points.
- Zlin's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zlin goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–38%
- 1–37%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Zlin 1342 · Sigma Olomouc 1767
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Zlin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1348
Sigma Olomouc · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1751
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zlin
16th in Czech Liga · 1 pts from 11
- 17 OctLPardubice Czech Liga1382
- 9 OctLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1373
- 20 SepDFK Jablonec Czech Liga1360
- 13 SepLHradec Králové Czech Liga1385
- 6 SepLTeplice Czech Liga1384
Sigma Olomouc
2nd in Czech Liga · 20 pts from 11
- 17 OctWSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1752
- 11 OctDTeplice Czech Liga1763
- 20 SepLSparta Praha Czech Liga1767
- 13 SepWPlzen Czech Liga1747
- 5 SepWBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1712
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlin | 1 /11 | 14.4 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
| Sigma Olomouc | 20 /11 | 51.2 | 3% | 60% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: creative · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Zlin: direct (how Pavel Hoftych plays) · Sigma Olomouc: balanced profile (how Pavel Hapal plays)