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Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Zhetysu 2–1 Kaisar

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC

Zhetysu crestZhetysuTeam 1246
2–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Kaisar crestKaisarTeam 1391

Match story

Zhetysu · draw · Kaisar

Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%

Live chances: Zhetysu 99%, draw 1%, Kaisar 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Zhetysu 30%, draw 29%, Kaisar 41%2' · 0–0 · Zhetysu 30%, draw 29%, Kaisar 41%3' · 0–0 · Zhetysu 30%, draw 29%, Kaisar 41%4' · 0–0 · Zhetysu 30%, draw 29%, Kaisar 41%6' · 0–0 · Zhetysu 30%, draw 29%, Kaisar 41%7' · 0–0 · Zhetysu 30%, draw 29%, Kaisar 41%8' · 0–0 · Zhetysu 30%, draw 29%, Kaisar 40%9' · 0–0 · Zhetysu 30%, draw 30%, Kaisar 40%10' · 0–0 · Zhetysu 30%, draw 30%, Kaisar 40%11' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 16%, draw 23%, Kaisar 61%12' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 16%, draw 23%, Kaisar 61%13' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 16%, draw 23%, Kaisar 61%14' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 16%, draw 23%, Kaisar 61%15' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 15%, draw 23%, Kaisar 61%16' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 15%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%17' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 15%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%18' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 15%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%19' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 15%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%20' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 15%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%21' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 15%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%22' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 15%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%23' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 14%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%24' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 14%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%25' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 14%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%26' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 14%, draw 23%, Kaisar 62%27' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 14%, draw 23%, Kaisar 63%28' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 14%, draw 24%, Kaisar 63%29' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 14%, draw 24%, Kaisar 63%30' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 14%, draw 24%, Kaisar 63%31' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 13%, draw 24%, Kaisar 63%32' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 13%, draw 24%, Kaisar 63%33' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 13%, draw 24%, Kaisar 63%34' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 13%, draw 24%, Kaisar 63%35' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 13%, draw 24%, Kaisar 64%36' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 13%, draw 24%, Kaisar 64%37' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 12%, draw 24%, Kaisar 64%38' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 12%, draw 24%, Kaisar 64%39' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 12%, draw 24%, Kaisar 64%40' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 12%, draw 24%, Kaisar 64%42' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 12%, draw 24%, Kaisar 65%43' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 11%, draw 24%, Kaisar 65%44' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 11%, draw 24%, Kaisar 65%45' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 11%, draw 24%, Kaisar 65%HT · 0–1 · Zhetysu 10%, draw 24%, Kaisar 66%46' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 10%, draw 24%, Kaisar 66%47' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 10%, draw 24%, Kaisar 66%48' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 10%, draw 24%, Kaisar 66%49' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 10%, draw 24%, Kaisar 66%50' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 10%, draw 24%, Kaisar 67%51' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 9%, draw 24%, Kaisar 67%52' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 9%, draw 24%, Kaisar 67%53' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 9%, draw 23%, Kaisar 68%54' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 9%, draw 23%, Kaisar 68%55' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 8%, draw 23%, Kaisar 68%56' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 8%, draw 23%, Kaisar 69%57' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 8%, draw 23%, Kaisar 69%58' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 8%, draw 23%, Kaisar 69%59' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 7%, draw 23%, Kaisar 70%60' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 7%, draw 23%, Kaisar 70%61' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 7%, draw 23%, Kaisar 70%62' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 7%, draw 23%, Kaisar 71%63' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 6%, draw 22%, Kaisar 71%64' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 6%, draw 22%, Kaisar 72%65' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 6%, draw 22%, Kaisar 72%66' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 6%, draw 22%, Kaisar 72%67' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 6%, draw 22%, Kaisar 73%68' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 5%, draw 21%, Kaisar 73%69' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 5%, draw 21%, Kaisar 74%70' · 0–1 · Zhetysu 5%, draw 21%, Kaisar 74%71' · 1–1 · Zhetysu 21%, draw 54%, Kaisar 25%72' · 1–1 · Zhetysu 21%, draw 55%, Kaisar 25%73' · 1–1 · Zhetysu 20%, draw 56%, Kaisar 24%74' · 1–1 · Zhetysu 20%, draw 57%, Kaisar 23%75' · 1–1 · Zhetysu 19%, draw 58%, Kaisar 23%76' · 1–1 · Zhetysu 19%, draw 59%, Kaisar 22%77' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 77%, draw 19%, Kaisar 3%78' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 78%, draw 19%, Kaisar 3%79' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 79%, draw 18%, Kaisar 3%80' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 80%, draw 18%, Kaisar 3%81' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 81%, draw 17%, Kaisar 2%82' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 81%, draw 16%, Kaisar 2%83' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 82%, draw 16%, Kaisar 2%84' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 83%, draw 15%, Kaisar 2%85' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 84%, draw 14%, Kaisar 2%86' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 85%, draw 14%, Kaisar 1%87' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 86%, draw 13%, Kaisar 1%88' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 87%, draw 12%, Kaisar 1%90' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 90%, draw 10%, Kaisar 1%90+1' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 91%, draw 8%, Kaisar 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 93%, draw 7%, Kaisar 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 94%, draw 6%, Kaisar 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 96%, draw 4%, Kaisar 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 97%, draw 3%, Kaisar 0%90+6' · 2–1 · Zhetysu 99%, draw 1%, Kaisar 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Kaisar 41% to win: Zhetysu won.

  1. 11'Kaisar:V. Moses 1499 −18*
  2. 19'Zhetysu:D. Luna 1393 +6*
  3. 40'Kaisar:N. Cuckic 1343 −9*
  4. 46'Zhetysu:T. Mosiashvili 1360 for M. Zhakipbayev 1132 +41*
  5. 58'Kaisar:Agostinho 1384 for N. Zhaksylyk 1425 −8*
  6. 58'Kaisar:A. Mukhammed 1352 for N. Agzambaev 1253 −8*
  7. 67'Zhetysu:N. Nurbol 1206 for A. Adakhadziev 1242 +24*
  8. 71'Zhetysu:S. Abzalov 1226 +22*
  9. 73'Zhetysu:N. Nurbol 1206
  10. 73'Kaisar:
  11. 74'Kaisar:B. Tazhibay 1186 for A. Kenesbek 1332 −10*
  12. 76'Zhetysu:N. Nurbol 1206
  13. 80'Kaisar:E. Kaldybekov 1211 for V. Moses 1499 −18*
  14. 80'Kaisar:R. Bagdat 1434 for S. Askarov 1352 −8*
  15. 85'Zhetysu:S. Anuarbek 1161 for N. Anuarbekov –
  16. 90+5'Zhetysu:

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations5-4-1
GNurymzhan Salaydin1245−8*
DAdilet Kenesbek1332−10*
DNiyaz Idrisov1345−8*
DSultan Askarov1352−8*
DKlaidher Macedo1500−9*
MSagi Sovet1481−8*
FNurdaulet Agzambaev1253−8*
MMiqueias1621−21*
MNikola Cuckić1343−9*
MNurali Zhaksylyk1425−8*
FVictor Moses1499−18*
CDmitriy Karpov1234
Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%(Zhetysu · draw · Kaisar)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Zhetysu €139K, Kaisar €225K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Zhetysu

16th in Premier League · 22 pts from 27

  • 18 SepLKaspiy 1244
  • 12 SepLYelimay Semey 1293
  • 5 SepWIrtysh 1292
  • 29 AugLUlytau 1295
  • 8 AugLOrdabasy 1296

Kaisar

14th in Premier League · 24 pts from 27

  • 18 SepDKyzyl-Zhar 1369
  • 12 SepWAtyrau 1353
  • 6 SepLAltay 1367
  • 29 AugLOkzhetpes 1390
  • 25 AugLFK Tobol Kostanay 1351

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Zhetysu22 /2725.00%0%94%16th
Kaisar24 /2727.10%0%72%14th
Zhetysu
Kaisar

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Bukorac
S. Bukorac

Kaisar · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1361

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Kajrat Nurdauletov

Coach DNA: –

Dmitriy Karpov

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.