Premier League · Regular Season - 29
Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Zhetysu host FK Tobol Kostanay on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zhetysu 21%, draw 26%, FK Tobol Kostanay 53%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zhetysu €140K, FK Tobol Kostanay €396K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 29: 290 points.
- Premier League: V. Lisakovich is the highest-rated forward (1728).
- All 11 of Zhetysu's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- All 11 of FK Tobol Kostanay's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zhetysu goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–210%
- 0–07%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Zhetysu 1288 · FK Tobol Kostanay 1578
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Tobol Kostanay · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1728
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zhetysu
14th in Premier League · 25 pts from 28
- 17 OctWKaisar Kazakhstan Premier League1254
- 18 SepLKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1244
- 12 SepLYelimay Semey Kazakhstan Premier League1293
- 5 SepWIrtysh Kazakhstan Premier League1292
- 29 AugLUlytau Kazakhstan Premier League1295
FK Tobol Kostanay
7th in Premier League · 40 pts from 28
- 17 OctWZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1554
- 17 SepLYelimay Semey Kazakhstan Premier League1560
- 13 SepWKairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League1537
- 6 SepWUlytau Kazakhstan Premier League1520
- 30 AugLKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1538
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhetysu | 25 /28 | 26.7 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 15th |
| FK Tobol Kostanay | 40 /28 | 43.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –