Premier League · Regular Season - 30
Zhetysu vs FC Astana
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Zhetysu host FC Astana on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zhetysu 17%, draw 24%, FC Astana 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zhetysu €140K, FC Astana €602K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 30: 360 points.
- Premier League: I. Bašić is the highest-rated midfielder (2037).
- All 11 of Zhetysu's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zhetysu goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–37%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Zhetysu 1288 · FC Astana 1648
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Astana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2037
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zhetysu
14th in Premier League · 25 pts from 28
- 17 OctWKaisar Kazakhstan Premier League1254
- 18 SepLKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1244
- 12 SepLYelimay Semey Kazakhstan Premier League1293
- 5 SepWIrtysh Kazakhstan Premier League1292
- 29 AugLUlytau Kazakhstan Premier League1295
FC Astana
3rd in Premier League · 49 pts from 27
- 18 OctDKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1648
- 14 OctWIrtysh Kazakhstan Premier League1652
- 17 SepWKairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League1628
- 12 SepLOrdabasy Kazakhstan Premier League1620
- 6 SepWYelimay Semey Kazakhstan Premier League1620
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhetysu | 25 /28 | 26.7 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 15th |
| FC Astana | 49 /27 | 53.1 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –