Premier League · Regular Season - 28
Zhenys 1–2 Atyrau
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Astana Arena, Astana
ZhenysTeam 1445AtyrauTeam 1403- A. Filipovic 79'
- D. Maksimovic 40', 45+1'
We gave Zhenys 45% to win: Atyrau won.
- B. Madelkhan –32'Zhenys:B. Madelkhan –
- 40'D. Maksimovic – assist M. Stanic –Atyrau:D. Maksimovic – assist M. Stanic –
- 45+1'D. Maksimovic – assist K. Kalmuratov –Atyrau:D. Maksimovic – assist K. Kalmuratov –
- M. Khaseyn – for V. Naumets –46'Zhenys:M. Khaseyn – for V. Naumets –
- A. Saulet – for M. Bystrov –46'Zhenys:A. Saulet – for M. Bystrov –
- M. Khaseyn –59'Zhenys:M. Khaseyn –
- P. Kpozo – for B. Madelkhan –59'Zhenys:P. Kpozo – for B. Madelkhan –
- I. Kuat – for M. Askarov –60'Zhenys:I. Kuat – for M. Askarov –
- 65'Y. Trufanov – for A. Boranshiev –Atyrau:Y. Trufanov – for A. Boranshiev –
- M. Khaseyn –68'Zhenys:M. Khaseyn –
- M. Khaseyn –68'Zhenys:M. Khaseyn –
- 74'K. Dorofeev – for D. Pantelic –Atyrau:K. Dorofeev – for D. Pantelic –
- R. Isaev for Adilio –76'Zhenys:R. Isaev for Adilio –
- A. Filipovic –79'Zhenys:A. Filipovic –
- G. Martins –84'Zhenys:G. Martins –
- 88'E. Khvalko –Atyrau:E. Khvalko –
- 90+3'Atyrau:
- 90+5'Atyrau:
Before kick-off (provisional): 45% · 28% · 27%(Zhenys · draw · Atyrau)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zhenys €232K, Atyrau €228K.
- All 11 of Zhenys' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zhenys
8th in Premier League · 32 pts from 26
- 18 SepLOkzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League1467
- 12 SepWKyzyl-Zhar Kazakhstan Premier League1443
- 9 SepLKairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League1413
- 5 SepLAktobe Kazakhstan Premier League1444
- 29 AugWAltay Kazakhstan Premier League1448
Atyrau
14th in Premier League · 23 pts from 24
- 17 SepLOrdabasy Kazakhstan Premier League1415
- 12 SepLKaisar Kazakhstan Premier League1397
- 5 SepWKyzyl-Zhar Kazakhstan Premier League1375
- 30 AugLFC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League1423
- 16 AugLOkzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League1358
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhenys | 32 /26 | 37.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8th |
| Atyrau | 23 /24 | 29.4 | 0% | 0% | 35% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Zhenys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1412
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –