Premier League · Regular Season - 14
Zenit vs FC Rostov
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Zenit host FC Rostov on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zenit 76%, draw 15%, FC Rostov 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zenit €8.3M, FC Rostov €1.3M.
- Draw chance 15%, below the Premier Liga average of 24% this round.
- Premier Liga: D. Adamov is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2156).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Premier Liga): Zenit rank #3 of 15, FC Rostov #14.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zenit goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Zenit 2127 · FC Rostov 1723
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Zenit · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2153
FC Rostov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1802
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zenit
2nd in Premier Liga · 24 pts from 11
- 18 OctWAkhmat Russia Premier League2143
- 10 OctWFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League2132
- 16 SepWBaltika Russia Premier League2109
- 12 SepWLokomotiv Russia Premier League2067
- 5 SepLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League2089
FC Rostov
9th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 11
- 18 OctDBaltika Russia Premier League1729
- 9 OctWAkron Russia Premier League1712
- 17 SepLDynamo Russia Premier League1737
- 13 SepLSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1680
- 5 SepWFakel Russia Premier League1719
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 24 /11 | 65.1 | 67% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| FC Rostov | 12 /11 | 35.4 | 0% | <1% | 9% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Zenit: possession-based · disciplined (how Sergey Semak plays) · FC Rostov: balanced profile (how Dmitri Kirichenko plays)