Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Zenit vs Dinamo Makhachkala
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Zenit host Dinamo Makhachkala on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zenit 84%, draw 11%, Dinamo Makhachkala 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zenit €8.8M, Dinamo Makhachkala €622K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Liga matchday 12: 553 points.
- Draw chance 11%, below the Premier Liga average of 25% this round.
- Premier Liga: D. Adamov is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2156).
- Style contrast in possession (Premier Liga): Zenit rank #1 of 15, Dinamo Makhachkala #14.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zenit goals first.
- 3–010%
- 2–09%
- 4–09%
- 3–18%
- 2–17%
- 4–17%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Zenit 2126 · Dinamo Makhachkala 1573
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Zenit · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2153
Dinamo Makhachkala · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Average) · Elo 1617
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zenit
2nd in Premier Liga · 24 pts from 11
- 18 OctWAkhmat Russia Premier League2143
- 10 OctWFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League2132
- 16 SepWBaltika Russia Premier League2109
- 12 SepWLokomotiv Russia Premier League2067
- 5 SepLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League2089
Dinamo Makhachkala
6th in Premier Liga · 13 pts from 11
- 17 OctDAkron Russia Premier League1567
- 10 OctLFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1593
- 17 SepLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1604
- 13 SepLAkhmat Russia Premier League1597
- 6 SepWRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1594
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 24 /11 | 65.2 | 68% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 /11 | 29.9 | 0% | 0% | 42% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Zenit: possession-based · disciplined (how Sergey Semak plays) · Dinamo Makhachkala: direct · high-pressing (how Vadim Evseev plays)