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Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Zenit 3–2 Akhmat

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg

Zenit crestZenitTeam 2114
3–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Akhmat crestAkhmatTeam 1673

Match story

Zenit · draw · Akhmat

Before kick-off: 78% · 14% · 7%

Live chances: Zenit 100%, draw 0%, Akhmat 0% at 90+11'2' · 0–0 · Zenit 78%, draw 15%, Akhmat 7%3' · 0–0 · Zenit 78%, draw 15%, Akhmat 8%4' · 0–0 · Zenit 78%, draw 15%, Akhmat 8%5' · 0–0 · Zenit 77%, draw 15%, Akhmat 8%6' · 0–0 · Zenit 77%, draw 15%, Akhmat 8%7' · 0–0 · Zenit 77%, draw 15%, Akhmat 8%8' · 0–0 · Zenit 77%, draw 15%, Akhmat 8%9' · 0–0 · Zenit 76%, draw 16%, Akhmat 8%10' · 0–0 · Zenit 76%, draw 16%, Akhmat 8%11' · 0–0 · Zenit 76%, draw 16%, Akhmat 8%14' · 0–0 · Zenit 75%, draw 17%, Akhmat 8%15' · 0–0 · Zenit 75%, draw 17%, Akhmat 8%16' · 0–0 · Zenit 75%, draw 17%, Akhmat 9%17' · 0–0 · Zenit 74%, draw 17%, Akhmat 9%18' · 0–0 · Zenit 74%, draw 17%, Akhmat 9%19' · 0–0 · Zenit 74%, draw 17%, Akhmat 9%20' · 0–0 · Zenit 73%, draw 18%, Akhmat 9%21' · 0–0 · Zenit 73%, draw 18%, Akhmat 9%22' · 0–0 · Zenit 73%, draw 18%, Akhmat 9%23' · 0–0 · Zenit 73%, draw 18%, Akhmat 9%24' · 0–0 · Zenit 72%, draw 19%, Akhmat 9%25' · 0–0 · Zenit 72%, draw 19%, Akhmat 9%26' · 0–1 · Zenit 56%, draw 23%, Akhmat 21%27' · 0–1 · Zenit 55%, draw 24%, Akhmat 21%28' · 0–1 · Zenit 55%, draw 24%, Akhmat 22%29' · 0–1 · Zenit 54%, draw 24%, Akhmat 22%30' · 0–1 · Zenit 53%, draw 24%, Akhmat 22%31' · 0–1 · Zenit 53%, draw 25%, Akhmat 23%32' · 0–1 · Zenit 52%, draw 25%, Akhmat 23%33' · 0–1 · Zenit 52%, draw 25%, Akhmat 23%34' · 0–1 · Zenit 51%, draw 25%, Akhmat 24%35' · 0–1 · Zenit 50%, draw 26%, Akhmat 24%36' · 0–1 · Zenit 50%, draw 26%, Akhmat 24%37' · 0–1 · Zenit 49%, draw 26%, Akhmat 25%38' · 0–1 · Zenit 48%, draw 26%, Akhmat 25%39' · 0–1 · Zenit 48%, draw 27%, Akhmat 26%40' · 0–1 · Zenit 47%, draw 27%, Akhmat 26%41' · 0–1 · Zenit 46%, draw 27%, Akhmat 27%42' · 0–1 · Zenit 46%, draw 27%, Akhmat 27%43' · 0–1 · Zenit 45%, draw 28%, Akhmat 27%44' · 0–1 · Zenit 44%, draw 28%, Akhmat 28%45' · 0–1 · Zenit 44%, draw 28%, Akhmat 28%45+1' · 0–1 · Zenit 43%, draw 28%, Akhmat 29%HT · 0–1 · Zenit 41%, draw 29%, Akhmat 30%48' · 1–1 · Zenit 62%, draw 27%, Akhmat 11%49' · 1–1 · Zenit 61%, draw 28%, Akhmat 11%50' · 1–1 · Zenit 60%, draw 28%, Akhmat 11%51' · 1–1 · Zenit 60%, draw 29%, Akhmat 12%52' · 1–1 · Zenit 59%, draw 29%, Akhmat 12%54' · 1–1 · Zenit 58%, draw 30%, Akhmat 12%55' · 1–1 · Zenit 57%, draw 31%, Akhmat 12%56' · 1–1 · Zenit 56%, draw 32%, Akhmat 12%57' · 1–1 · Zenit 55%, draw 33%, Akhmat 12%58' · 1–1 · Zenit 55%, draw 33%, Akhmat 12%59' · 1–1 · Zenit 54%, draw 34%, Akhmat 12%61' · 1–1 · Zenit 52%, draw 36%, Akhmat 12%62' · 1–1 · Zenit 52%, draw 36%, Akhmat 12%63' · 1–1 · Zenit 51%, draw 37%, Akhmat 12%64' · 1–1 · Zenit 50%, draw 38%, Akhmat 12%65' · 2–1 · Zenit 87%, draw 11%, Akhmat 2%66' · 2–1 · Zenit 87%, draw 11%, Akhmat 2%68' · 2–1 · Zenit 88%, draw 11%, Akhmat 2%69' · 2–1 · Zenit 88%, draw 11%, Akhmat 2%70' · 2–1 · Zenit 88%, draw 11%, Akhmat 1%71' · 2–1 · Zenit 88%, draw 11%, Akhmat 1%72' · 2–1 · Zenit 88%, draw 11%, Akhmat 1%73' · 2–1 · Zenit 88%, draw 11%, Akhmat 1%74' · 2–1 · Zenit 88%, draw 11%, Akhmat 1%75' · 2–1 · Zenit 88%, draw 10%, Akhmat 1%76' · 2–1 · Zenit 89%, draw 10%, Akhmat 1%77' · 2–1 · Zenit 89%, draw 10%, Akhmat 1%78' · 2–1 · Zenit 89%, draw 10%, Akhmat 1%79' · 2–1 · Zenit 89%, draw 10%, Akhmat 1%80' · 2–1 · Zenit 89%, draw 10%, Akhmat 1%81' · 2–1 · Zenit 90%, draw 9%, Akhmat 1%82' · 2–1 · Zenit 90%, draw 9%, Akhmat 1%83' · 2–1 · Zenit 90%, draw 9%, Akhmat 1%84' · 2–1 · Zenit 91%, draw 9%, Akhmat 1%85' · 2–1 · Zenit 91%, draw 8%, Akhmat 1%86' · 2–1 · Zenit 92%, draw 8%, Akhmat 0%87' · 2–1 · Zenit 92%, draw 8%, Akhmat 0%88' · 2–1 · Zenit 93%, draw 7%, Akhmat 0%89' · 2–2 · Zenit 19%, draw 75%, Akhmat 7%90' · 2–2 · Zenit 17%, draw 77%, Akhmat 6%90+1' · 2–2 · Zenit 14%, draw 80%, Akhmat 5%90+2' · 2–2 · Zenit 12%, draw 83%, Akhmat 5%90+3' · 3–2 · Zenit 96%, draw 4%, Akhmat 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Zenit 97%, draw 3%, Akhmat 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Zenit 98%, draw 2%, Akhmat 0%90+6' · 3–2 · Zenit 99%, draw 1%, Akhmat 0%90+7' · 3–2 · Zenit 100%, draw 0%, Akhmat 0%90+8' · 3–2 · Zenit 100%, draw 0%, Akhmat 0%90+9' · 3–2 · Zenit 100%, draw 0%, Akhmat 0%90+10' · 3–2 · Zenit 100%, draw 0%, Akhmat 0%90+11' · 3–2 · Zenit 100%, draw 0%, Akhmat 0%

Last reading, 90+11': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Zenit 78% to win: they did.

  1. 13'Akhmat:Turpal-Ali Ibishev 1679 −1
  2. 22'Zenit: Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos 2151 +2
  3. 25'Akhmat:Lechi Sadulaev 1731 −6 assist Egas Cacintura 1746 −3
  4. 30'Zenit:Gustavo Mantuan 2219 +3
  5. 45'Zenit:Jhon Jhon 2093 +7 for Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos 2151 +2
  6. 47'Zenit:Arsen Adamov 1669 −1 (own goal)
  7. 57'Akhmat:Maksim Samorodov 1736 −1 for Kirill Shchetinin 1797 −10*
  8. 62'Zenit:Maksim Glushenkov 2190 +10 assist Artem Karpukas 1981 +21
  9. 67'Akhmat:Mohamed Konate 1640 −1 for Georgiy Melkadze 1720 −10*
  10. 68'Akhmat:Manuel Keliano 1567 0 for Turpal-Ali Ibishev 1679 −1
  11. 71'Akhmat:Ismael Silva 1693 −5
  12. 72'Akhmat:Aleksey Kasadzhikov 1487 −8* for Egas Cacintura 1746 −3
  13. 78'Akhmat:Aleksey Kasadzhikov 1487 −8*
  14. 84'Zenit:Kevin Andrade 1915 0 for Marcilio Florencio Mota Filho 2222 +2
  15. 86'Akhmat:Mohamed Konate 1640 −1 assist Miroslav Bogosavac 1710 −3
  16. 90'Zenit:Jhon Jhon 2093 +7
  17. 90+3'Zenit:Roman Vega 1942 −7* for Maksim Glushenkov 2190 +10
  18. 90+3'Zenit:Felipe Augusto 2152 −8* for Luiz Henrique 2230 +3
  19. 90+4'Zenit:Denis Adamov 2156 +5
  20. 90+5'Zenit:Roman Vega 1942 −7*
  21. 90+6'Zenit:Aleksandr Sobolev 2156 +3

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GV. Ulyanov1721−2
DA. Adamov1669−1
DT. Ibishev1679−1
DK. Cake1722−2
DM. Bogosavac1710−3
MK. Sidibé1681−3
MIsmael Silva Lima1693−5
MK. Shchetinin1797−10*
MEgas Cacintura1746−3
ML. Sadulaev1731−6
FG. Melkadze1720−10*
CS. Cherchesov1733−3
Before kick-off: 78% · 14% · 7%(Zenit · draw · Akhmat)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Zenit €9.0M, Akhmat €1.1M.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Liga matchday 11: 405 points.
  • Draw chance was 15%, below the Premier Liga average of 25% this round.
  • Premier Liga: D. Adamov was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2152).
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premier Liga): Zenit ranked #14 of 15, Akhmat #3.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Zenit

4th in Premier Liga · 21 pts from 10

  • 10 OctWFC Krasnodar 2132
  • 16 SepWBaltika 2109
  • 12 SepWLokomotiv 2067
  • 5 SepLCSKA Moscow 2089
  • 29 AugWFakel 2067

Akhmat

11th in Premier Liga · 11 pts from 10

  • 11 OctDBaltika 1716
  • 17 SepLAkron 1740
  • 13 SepWDinamo Makhachkala 1723
  • 7 SepDRubin 1721
  • 29 AugDKrylia Sovetov 1735

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Zenit21 /1064.369%99%0%1st
Akhmat11 /1034.70%<1%12%10th
Zenit
Akhmat

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Nino
Nino

Zenit · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2220

Ismael Silva Lima
Ismael Silva Lima

Akhmat · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1698

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Sergey Semak

Coach DNA: possession-based

Stanislav Cherchesov

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Zenit: possession-based · disciplined (how Sergey Semak plays) · Akhmat: dribble-heavy (how Stanislav Cherchesov plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.