Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 14
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Grbavica, Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo host Borac Banja Luka on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premijer Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 23%, draw 27%, Borac Banja Luka 50%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo €155K, Borac Banja Luka €316K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premijer Liga matchday 14: 250 points.
- Premijer Liga: M. Jurkas is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1696).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–111%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 1–07%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1315 · Borac Banja Luka 1565
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Borac Banja Luka · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1650
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
6th in Premijer Liga · 13 pts from 13
- 7 NovLSiroki Brijeg Bosnia Premijer Liga1361
- 31 OctLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1294
- 24 OctLFK Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1255
- 29 AugDSiroki Brijeg Bosnia Premijer Liga1282
- 11 AprWRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1424
Borac Banja Luka
2nd in Premijer Liga · 31 pts from 12
- 8 NovWRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1556
- 5 NovLMjallby AIF UEFA Conference League1634
- 31 OctWČelik Bosnia Premijer Liga1593
- 25 OctWSloga Doboj Bosnia Premijer Liga1504
- 22 OctWKuPS UEFA Conference League1592
Season outlook
From the Premijer Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 13 /13 | 41.2 | 0% | 15% | 38% | 7th |
| Borac Banja Luka | 31 /12 | 72.6 | 43% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –