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Czech Liga · Regular Season - 10

Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 FK Jablonec

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska, Brno

Zbrojovka Brno crestZbrojovka BrnoTeam 1585
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
FK Jablonec crestFK JablonecTeam 1665

Match story

Zbrojovka Brno · draw · FK Jablonec

Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%

Live chances: Zbrojovka Brno 0%, draw 0%, FK Jablonec 100% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 35%, draw 29%, FK Jablonec 36%2' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 35%, draw 29%, FK Jablonec 36%3' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 35%, draw 29%, FK Jablonec 36%4' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 35%, draw 29%, FK Jablonec 36%5' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 35%, draw 30%, FK Jablonec 36%6' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 35%, draw 30%, FK Jablonec 36%7' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 35%, draw 30%, FK Jablonec 35%8' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 35%, draw 30%, FK Jablonec 35%9' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 35%, draw 30%, FK Jablonec 35%10' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 30%, FK Jablonec 35%11' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 30%, FK Jablonec 35%12' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 31%, FK Jablonec 35%13' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 31%, FK Jablonec 35%14' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 31%, FK Jablonec 35%15' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 31%, FK Jablonec 35%16' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 31%, FK Jablonec 35%17' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 32%, FK Jablonec 35%18' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 32%, FK Jablonec 34%19' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 32%, FK Jablonec 34%20' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 32%, FK Jablonec 34%21' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 34%, draw 32%, FK Jablonec 34%22' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 33%, draw 32%, FK Jablonec 34%23' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 33%, draw 33%, FK Jablonec 34%24' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 33%, draw 33%, FK Jablonec 34%25' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 33%, draw 33%, FK Jablonec 34%26' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 33%, draw 33%, FK Jablonec 34%27' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 33%, draw 34%, FK Jablonec 34%28' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 33%, draw 34%, FK Jablonec 33%29' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 33%, draw 34%, FK Jablonec 33%31' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 32%, draw 34%, FK Jablonec 33%32' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 32%, draw 35%, FK Jablonec 33%33' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 32%, draw 35%, FK Jablonec 33%34' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 32%, draw 35%, FK Jablonec 33%35' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 32%, draw 36%, FK Jablonec 32%36' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 32%, draw 36%, FK Jablonec 32%37' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 32%, draw 36%, FK Jablonec 32%38' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 31%, draw 36%, FK Jablonec 32%39' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 31%, draw 37%, FK Jablonec 32%40' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 31%, draw 37%, FK Jablonec 32%41' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 31%, draw 37%, FK Jablonec 32%42' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 31%, draw 38%, FK Jablonec 31%43' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 31%, draw 38%, FK Jablonec 31%44' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 31%, draw 38%, FK Jablonec 31%45' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 30%, draw 39%, FK Jablonec 31%HT · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 30%, draw 40%, FK Jablonec 30%46' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 30%, draw 40%, FK Jablonec 30%48' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 29%, draw 41%, FK Jablonec 30%49' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 29%, draw 42%, FK Jablonec 29%50' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 29%, draw 42%, FK Jablonec 29%51' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 28%, draw 43%, FK Jablonec 29%52' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 28%, draw 43%, FK Jablonec 29%53' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 28%, draw 44%, FK Jablonec 28%54' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 28%, draw 44%, FK Jablonec 28%56' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 27%, draw 46%, FK Jablonec 27%57' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 27%, draw 46%, FK Jablonec 27%58' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 26%, draw 47%, FK Jablonec 27%59' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 26%, draw 48%, FK Jablonec 26%60' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 26%, draw 48%, FK Jablonec 26%61' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 25%, draw 49%, FK Jablonec 26%62' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 25%, draw 50%, FK Jablonec 25%64' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 24%, draw 51%, FK Jablonec 25%66' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 23%, draw 53%, FK Jablonec 24%68' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 23%, draw 54%, FK Jablonec 23%70' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 22%, draw 56%, FK Jablonec 22%71' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 21%, draw 57%, FK Jablonec 22%72' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 21%, draw 58%, FK Jablonec 21%73' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 20%, draw 59%, FK Jablonec 21%74' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 20%, draw 60%, FK Jablonec 20%75' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 19%, draw 61%, FK Jablonec 19%76' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 19%, draw 62%, FK Jablonec 19%78' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 18%, draw 65%, FK Jablonec 18%80' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 16%, draw 67%, FK Jablonec 16%81' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 16%, draw 69%, FK Jablonec 16%82' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 15%, draw 70%, FK Jablonec 15%84' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 13%, draw 73%, FK Jablonec 14%85' · 0–0 · Zbrojovka Brno 13%, draw 75%, FK Jablonec 13%86' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 1%, draw 13%, FK Jablonec 86%87' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 1%, draw 12%, FK Jablonec 87%88' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 1%, draw 11%, FK Jablonec 88%89' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 1%, draw 10%, FK Jablonec 89%90' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 0%, draw 9%, FK Jablonec 91%90+1' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 0%, draw 8%, FK Jablonec 92%90+2' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 0%, draw 6%, FK Jablonec 93%90+3' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 0%, draw 5%, FK Jablonec 95%90+4' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 0%, draw 4%, FK Jablonec 96%90+5' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 0%, draw 2%, FK Jablonec 98%90+6' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 0%, draw 1%, FK Jablonec 99%90+7' · 0–1 · Zbrojovka Brno 0%, draw 0%, FK Jablonec 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FK Jablonec 36% to win: they did.

  1. 43'Zbrojovka Brno:A. Dante 1757 −28*
  2. 46'Zbrojovka Brno:L. Ezeh 1544 −8* for A. Soliu 1577 −8*
  3. 65'Zbrojovka Brno:T. Vachousek 1506 −8* for D. Vasulin 1763 −14*
  4. 65'Zbrojovka Brno:S. Langer 1556 −8* for P. Cavos 1562 −11*
  5. 68'Zbrojovka Brno:S. Langer 1556 −8*
  6. 68'FK Jablonec:D. Holly 1656 +2*
  7. 70'FK Jablonec:A. Rusek 1642 −1* for D. Holly 1656 +2*
  8. 70'FK Jablonec:S. Alioum 1605 +1* for G. Kuol 1564 +5*
  9. 78'Zbrojovka Brno:M. Rymarenko 1263 −8* for A. Vanicek 1388 −9*
  10. 84'FK Jablonec:N. Okeke 1526 −5* for S. Nebyla 1788 +9*
  11. 85'FK Jablonec:A. Rusek 1642 −1* assist S. Alioum 1605 +1*
  12. 87'Zbrojovka Brno:F. Vedral 1657 −9* for J. Zmrhal 1604 −12*
  13. 90+5'FK Jablonec:F. Novak 1537 −16* for L. Jawo 1688 +18*
  14. 90+5'FK Jablonec:D. Soucek 1585 −8* for V. Chanturishvili 1735 +11*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations4-2-3-1
GJan Hanuš1663+19*
DMartin Cedidla1763+13*
DNemanja Tekijaški1764+11*
DDušan Pavlović1756+14*
DEduard Sobol1636+26*
MRichard Sedláček1751+14*
MSebastian Nebyla1788+9*
MVakhtang Chanturishvili1735+11*
MDominik Hollý1656+2*
MGarang Kuol1564+5*
FLamin Jawo1688+18*
CLuboš Kozel1724
Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%(Zbrojovka Brno · draw · FK Jablonec)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Zbrojovka Brno €417K, FK Jablonec €691K.
  • Home advantage made Zbrojovka Brno the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Zbrojovka Brno

6th in Czech Liga · 16 pts from 9

  • 19 SepLMlada Boleslav 1620
  • 12 SepWArtis 1596
  • 5 SepLSlavia Praha 1586
  • 2 SepWHradec Králové 1590
  • 29 AugWZlin 1554

FK Jablonec

8th in Czech Liga · 14 pts from 9

  • 20 SepDZlin 1652
  • 12 SepLSparta Praha 1711
  • 9 SepWBaník Ostrava 1678
  • 6 SepLSlovan Liberec 1716
  • 2 SepDBohemians 1905 1654

Season outlook

From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Zbrojovka Brno16 /943.40%11%1%9th
FK Jablonec14 /943.2<1%11%1%9th
Zbrojovka Brno
FK Jablonec

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Czech Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Pokorný
J. Pokorný

Zbrojovka Brno · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1772

D. Pavlovic

FK Jablonec · +2.5 (Good) · Elo 1742

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Martin Svědík

Coach DNA: direct

Luboš Kozel

Coach DNA: balanced profile

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.