Czech Liga · Regular Season - 14
Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Zbrojovka Brno host Baník Ostrava on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zbrojovka Brno 42%, draw 29%, Baník Ostrava 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zbrojovka Brno €389K, Baník Ostrava €450K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zbrojovka Brno goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Zbrojovka Brno 1617 · Baník Ostrava 1606
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Zbrojovka Brno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1696
Baník Ostrava · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1479
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zbrojovka Brno
5th in Czech Liga · 19 pts from 11
- 18 OctWSlovácko Czech Liga1626
- 10 OctLFK Jablonec Czech Liga1636
- 19 SepLMlada Boleslav Czech Liga1620
- 12 SepWArtis Czech Liga1596
- 5 SepLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1586
Baník Ostrava
13th in Czech Liga · 11 pts from 11
- 18 OctDSparta Praha Czech Liga1564
- 10 OctLBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1546
- 19 SepDSlovácko Czech Liga1565
- 13 SepLPardubice Czech Liga1598
- 9 SepLFK Jablonec Czech Liga1632
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zbrojovka Brno | 19 /11 | 43.1 | <1% | 11% | 1% | 7th |
| Baník Ostrava | 11 /11 | 34.8 | 0% | <1% | 21% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile