Premier League · Regular Season - 6
Zamalek SC 0–2 Al Ahly
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Zamalek SCTeam 1605
Al AhlyTeam 1762Match story
Zamalek SC · draw · Al AhlyBefore kick-off: 26% · 29% · 45%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Achraf Bencharki 39'
- Monsef Bakrar 80'
We gave Al Ahly 45% to win: they did.
- 39'Achraf Bencharki 1869 +31* assist Mohamed Hany 1903 +32*
Al Ahly:Achraf Bencharki 1869 +31* assist Mohamed Hany 1903 +32* - 66'Omar El Saeey 1303 +17* for Emam Ashour 1930 +1*
Al Ahly:Omar El Saeey 1303 +17* for Emam Ashour 1930 +1* - 66'Monsef Bakrar 2101 −3* for S. Benjdida 1562 +14*
Al Ahly:Monsef Bakrar 2101 −3* for S. Benjdida 1562 +14* - Mohamed Ahmad Hamad Shehata 1387 −8* for Abdallah El-Said 1325 −25*66'
Zamalek SC:Mohamed Ahmad Hamad Shehata 1387 −8* for Abdallah El-Said 1325 −25* - Omar Gaber 1668 −14*70'
Zamalek SC:Omar Gaber 1668 −14* - Hossam Ashraf 1276 −8* for Mahmoud Bentayg 1762 −10*74'
Zamalek SC:Hossam Ashraf 1276 −8* for Mahmoud Bentayg 1762 −10* - Ahmed Abdel Rahim 1273 −8* for Ahmed Sherif 1479 −8*74'
Zamalek SC:Ahmed Abdel Rahim 1273 −8* for Ahmed Sherif 1479 −8* - Oday Dabbagh 1753 −8* for Ahmed Fatouh 1893 −20*79'
Zamalek SC:Oday Dabbagh 1753 −8* for Ahmed Fatouh 1893 −20* - 80'Monsef Bakrar 2101 −3* assist Zizo Sayed 1794 +41*
Al Ahly:Monsef Bakrar 2101 −3* assist Zizo Sayed 1794 +41* - 84'Hussein El Shahat 1531 −9* for Achraf Bencharki 1869 +31*
Al Ahly:Hussein El Shahat 1531 −9* for Achraf Bencharki 1869 +31* - 84'Taher Mohamed 1760 −8* for Zizo Sayed 1794 +41*
Al Ahly:Taher Mohamed 1760 −8* for Zizo Sayed 1794 +41* - 90+5'Ahmed Reda Hashem 1388 −8* for Akram Tawfik 1809 +47*
Al Ahly:Ahmed Reda Hashem 1388 −8* for Akram Tawfik 1809 +47*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 26% · 29% · 45%(Zamalek SC · draw · Al Ahly)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Zamalek SC €411K, Al Ahly €807K.
- Premier League: Mostafa Shobeir was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1939).
- Zamalek SC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Al Ahly were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zamalek SC
2nd in Premier League · 13 pts from 5
- 16 SepWGhazl El Mehalla Egyptian Premier League1551
- 8 SepWAbu Qair Semad Egyptian Premier League1554
- 31 AugWPetrojet Egyptian Premier League1503
- 26 AugWNational Bank of Egypt Egyptian Premier League1631
- 21 AugDAl Ittihad Egyptian Premier League1659
Al Ahly
3rd in Premier League · 13 pts from 5
- 15 SepWAbu Qair Semad Egyptian Premier League1698
- 9 SepDEl Mokawloon Egyptian Premier League1765
- 3 SepWSmouha SC Egyptian Premier League1743
- 28 AugWMasr Egyptian Premier League1739
- 23 AugWENPPI Egyptian Premier League1768
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamalek SC | 13 /5 | 40.0 | 9% | 90% | 0% | 3rd |
| Al Ahly | 13 /5 | 44.1 | 33% | 98% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Zamalek SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1721

Al Ahly · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1939
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Zamalek SC: possession-based (how Motamed Gamal plays) · Al Ahly: creative · possession-based (how Hussein Ammouta plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.