Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 13
Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin host Korona Kielce on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Zaglebie Lubin 40%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Zaglebie Lubin €654K, Korona Kielce €864K.
- Home advantage makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Zaglebie Lubin goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Zaglebie Lubin 1675 · Korona Kielce 1709
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Zaglebie Lubin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1710
Korona Kielce · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1769
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Zaglebie Lubin
7th in Ekstraklasa · 18 pts from 11
- 18 OctWJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1682
- 10 OctLCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1698
- 20 SepLWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1683
- 15 SepWRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1660
- 12 SepWGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1634
Korona Kielce
9th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 11
- 18 OctLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1755
- 11 OctLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1769
- 19 SepWRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1747
- 15 SepLGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1763
- 12 SepWSlask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa1744
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 18 /11 | 45.3 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 7th |
| Korona Kielce | 15 /11 | 45.8 | 0% | 6% | 5% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Zaglebie Lubin: direct (how Leszek Ojrzynski plays) · Korona Kielce: direct (how Jacek Zieliński plays)