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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:45 UTC · Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin crestZaglebie LubinTeam 1662
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Jagiellonia crestJagielloniaTeam 1789

Match story

Zaglebie Lubin · draw · Jagiellonia

Before kick-off: 33% · 29% · 38%

Live chances: Zaglebie Lubin 100%, draw 0%, Jagiellonia 0% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 29%, Jagiellonia 38%2' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 29%, Jagiellonia 37%3' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia 37%4' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia 37%5' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia 37%6' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia 37%7' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia 37%8' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia 37%9' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia 37%10' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia 37%11' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia 37%12' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 31%, Jagiellonia 37%13' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 31%, Jagiellonia 37%14' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 33%, draw 31%, Jagiellonia 37%15' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 31%, Jagiellonia 37%16' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 31%, Jagiellonia 36%17' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 31%, Jagiellonia 36%18' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 31%, Jagiellonia 36%19' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 32%, Jagiellonia 36%20' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 32%, Jagiellonia 36%21' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 32%, Jagiellonia 36%22' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 32%, Jagiellonia 36%23' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 32%, Jagiellonia 36%24' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 32%, Jagiellonia 36%25' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 33%, Jagiellonia 36%26' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 33%, Jagiellonia 35%27' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 33%, Jagiellonia 35%28' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 33%, Jagiellonia 35%29' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 32%, draw 33%, Jagiellonia 35%30' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 33%, Jagiellonia 35%31' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 34%, Jagiellonia 35%32' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 34%, Jagiellonia 35%33' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 34%, Jagiellonia 35%34' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 34%, Jagiellonia 35%35' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 35%, Jagiellonia 34%36' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 35%, Jagiellonia 34%37' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 35%, Jagiellonia 34%38' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 35%, Jagiellonia 34%39' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 31%, draw 36%, Jagiellonia 34%40' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 30%, draw 36%, Jagiellonia 34%41' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 30%, draw 36%, Jagiellonia 33%42' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 30%, draw 37%, Jagiellonia 33%43' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 30%, draw 37%, Jagiellonia 33%44' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 30%, draw 37%, Jagiellonia 33%45' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 30%, draw 37%, Jagiellonia 33%45+1' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 30%, draw 38%, Jagiellonia 33%45+2' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 29%, draw 38%, Jagiellonia 32%HT · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 29%, draw 39%, Jagiellonia 32%48' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 29%, draw 39%, Jagiellonia 32%49' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 29%, draw 40%, Jagiellonia 31%50' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 29%, draw 40%, Jagiellonia 31%51' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 28%, draw 41%, Jagiellonia 31%52' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 28%, draw 41%, Jagiellonia 31%53' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 28%, draw 42%, Jagiellonia 30%54' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 28%, draw 42%, Jagiellonia 30%55' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 27%, draw 43%, Jagiellonia 30%56' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 27%, draw 44%, Jagiellonia 29%57' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 27%, draw 44%, Jagiellonia 29%58' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 26%, draw 45%, Jagiellonia 29%59' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 26%, draw 45%, Jagiellonia 28%60' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 26%, draw 46%, Jagiellonia 28%61' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 26%, draw 47%, Jagiellonia 28%62' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 25%, draw 47%, Jagiellonia 27%63' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 25%, draw 48%, Jagiellonia 27%64' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 25%, draw 49%, Jagiellonia 27%65' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 24%, draw 49%, Jagiellonia 26%66' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 24%, draw 50%, Jagiellonia 26%67' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 24%, draw 51%, Jagiellonia 25%68' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 23%, draw 52%, Jagiellonia 25%69' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 23%, draw 53%, Jagiellonia 25%70' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 22%, draw 54%, Jagiellonia 24%71' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 22%, draw 54%, Jagiellonia 24%72' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 21%, draw 55%, Jagiellonia 23%73' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 21%, draw 56%, Jagiellonia 23%74' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 21%, draw 57%, Jagiellonia 22%75' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 20%, draw 58%, Jagiellonia 22%76' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 20%, draw 60%, Jagiellonia 21%77' · 0–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 19%, draw 61%, Jagiellonia 20%79' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 80%, draw 17%, Jagiellonia 3%80' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 81%, draw 17%, Jagiellonia 2%81' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 82%, draw 16%, Jagiellonia 2%82' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 82%, draw 16%, Jagiellonia 2%83' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 83%, draw 15%, Jagiellonia 2%84' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 84%, draw 14%, Jagiellonia 2%85' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 85%, draw 14%, Jagiellonia 1%86' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 86%, draw 13%, Jagiellonia 1%87' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 87%, draw 12%, Jagiellonia 1%88' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 88%, draw 11%, Jagiellonia 1%89' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 89%, draw 10%, Jagiellonia 1%90' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 90%, draw 9%, Jagiellonia 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 92%, draw 8%, Jagiellonia 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 93%, draw 7%, Jagiellonia 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 94%, draw 5%, Jagiellonia 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 96%, draw 4%, Jagiellonia 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 98%, draw 2%, Jagiellonia 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 99%, draw 1%, Jagiellonia 0%90+7' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 100%, draw 0%, Jagiellonia 0%90+8' · 1–0 · Zaglebie Lubin 100%, draw 0%, Jagiellonia 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Jagiellonia 38% to win: Zaglebie Lubin won.

  1. 15'Zaglebie Lubin:Mateusz Grzybek 1686 +21
  2. 45'Zaglebie Lubin:David Čolina 1666 +25 for Mateusz Grzybek 1686 +21
  3. 45'Jagiellonia:Cezary Polak 1610 0 for Bartlomiej Wdowik 1832 −12
  4. 45'Jagiellonia:Rodrigo Conceição 1800 −3 for Kamil Jóźwiak 1760 −2
  5. 62'Jagiellonia:Dimitris Rallis 1701 −8* for Ousmane Sow 1743 −1
  6. 63'Zaglebie Lubin:Jakub·Sypek 1614 +6 for Filip Szymczak 1656 +13
  7. 69'Jagiellonia:Jeremy Agbonifo 1665 0 for Dušan Stojinović 1828 −7
  8. 77'Zaglebie Lubin:Sebastian Kerk 1587 +18 (pen.)
  9. 79'Jagiellonia:Bernardo Vital 1849 −11
  10. 83'Zaglebie Lubin:Mateusz Dziewiatowski 1317 0* for Sebastian Kerk 1587 +18
  11. 88'Jagiellonia:Aleksandar·Cirkovic 1697 0 for Bernardo Vital 1849 −11
  12. 90+1'Zaglebie Lubin:Jakub·Sypek 1614 +6
  13. 90+6'Zaglebie Lubin:Damian Michalski 1688 −1 for Josip Ćorluka 1701 +14

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-1-2Formations4-3-3
GZ. Alomerović1774+7
DA. Ławniczak1770+32
DM. Nalepa1674+18
DR. Yakuba1781+30
MM. Grzybek1686+21
MF. Kocaba1710+15
MD. Dąbrowski1650+24
MJ. Ćorluka1701+14
MS. Kerk1587+18
FM. Reguła1772+31
FF. Szymczak1656+13
CL. Ojrzynski1736+26
GS. Abramowicz1857−11
DD. Stojinović1828−7
DBernardo Vital1849−11
DY. Kobayashi1866−37
DB. Wdowik1832−12
MO. Sow1743−1
MT. Romanczuk1840−18
MA. Klynge1748−1
FK. Jóźwiak1760−2
FJesús Imaz1759−11
FK. Szmyt1821−8
CA. Siemieniec1837−18
Before kick-off: 33% · 29% · 38%(Zaglebie Lubin · draw · Jagiellonia)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Zaglebie Lubin €621K, Jagiellonia €1.1M.
  • Style contrast in possession (Ekstraklasa): Zaglebie Lubin ranked #17 of 19, Jagiellonia #3.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Zaglebie Lubin

9th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 10

  • 10 OctLCracovia Krakow 1698
  • 20 SepLWisla Plock 1683
  • 15 SepWRaków Częstochowa 1660
  • 12 SepWGKS Katowice 1634
  • 7 SepDWieczysta Kraków 1677

Jagiellonia

10th in Ekstraklasa · 12 pts from 9

  • 15 OctWArarat-Armenia 1801
  • 10 OctLGornik Zabrze 1812
  • 20 SepLLegia Warszawa 1811
  • 16 SepLOlympiakos Piraeus 1861
  • 11 SepLWisla Krakow 1856

Season outlook

From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Zaglebie Lubin15 /1042.40%2%13%12th
Jagiellonia12 /950.3<1%19%1%5th
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ekstraklasa

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

F. Kocaba
F. Kocaba

Zaglebie Lubin · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1695

T. Romanczuk
T. Romanczuk

Jagiellonia · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1858

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Leszek Ojrzynski

Coach DNA: direct

Adrian Siemieniec

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Zaglebie Lubin: direct (how Leszek Ojrzynski plays) · Jagiellonia: possession-based (how Adrian Siemieniec plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.