League Two · Regular Season - 16
York vs Walsall
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · York Community Stadium, York
York host Walsall on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: York 34%, draw 29%, Walsall 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: York €252K, Walsall €216K.
- Style contrast in attacking (League Two): York rank #25 of 26, Walsall #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. York goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- 0–08%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: York 1586 · Walsall 1678
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
York · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1646
Walsall · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1774
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
York
7th in League Two · 20 pts from 14
- 10 NovLBradford England EFL Trophy1450
- 7 NovWNorthampton England FA Cup1604
- 31 OctLGrimsby England League Two1603
- 27 OctLBarnet England League Two1602
- 24 OctWPort Vale England League Two1561
Walsall
3rd in League Two · 22 pts from 13
- 10 NovLLeicester England EFL Trophy1520
- 7 NovLNewport County England FA Cup1673
- 31 OctWColchester England League Two1678
- 26 OctLSalford City England League Two1682
- 20 OctWOldham England League Two1621
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 20 /14 | 58.8 | <1% | 3% | 10% | 15th |
| Walsall | 22 /13 | 67.8 | 1% | 30% | 1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
York: balanced profile (how Scott Lindsey plays) · Walsall: direct (how Lee Grant plays)