League Two · Regular Season - 13
York vs Port Vale
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · York Community Stadium, York
York host Port Vale on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: York 29%, draw 29%, Port Vale 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: York €177K, Port Vale €313K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. York goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: York 1542 · Port Vale 1697
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
York · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1543
Port Vale · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1725
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
York
4th in League Two · 16 pts from 10
- 17 OctDNewport County England League Two1538
- 10 OctDNorthampton England League Two1570
- 26 SepWGillingham England League Two1507
- 22 SepDRotherham England EFL Trophy1417
- 19 SepLChesterfield England League Two1532
Port Vale
21st in League Two · 11 pts from 9
- 17 OctWChesterfield England League Two1683
- 10 OctWGrimsby England League Two1667
- 6 OctWMansfield Town England EFL Trophy1750
- 22 SepDChesterfield England EFL Trophy1676
- 19 SepLWalsall England League Two1685
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 16 /10 | 57.0 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 19th |
| Port Vale | 11 /9 | 64.4 | 1% | 15% | 3% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct