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Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Yelimay Semey 2–1 Ulytau

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Stadion Spartak, Semey

Yelimay Semey crestYelimay SemeyTeam 1550
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Ulytau crestUlytauTeam 1328

Match story

Yelimay Semey · draw · Ulytau

Before kick-off: 60% · 23% · 17%

Live chances: Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0% at 90'1' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 60%, draw 23%, Ulytau 17%2' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 60%, draw 23%, Ulytau 17%3' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 59%, draw 24%, Ulytau 17%4' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 59%, draw 24%, Ulytau 17%5' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 59%, draw 24%, Ulytau 17%6' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 59%, draw 24%, Ulytau 17%8' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 59%, draw 24%, Ulytau 17%9' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 58%, draw 24%, Ulytau 17%10' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 58%, draw 25%, Ulytau 17%11' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 58%, draw 25%, Ulytau 17%13' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 57%, draw 25%, Ulytau 17%14' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 57%, draw 25%, Ulytau 18%15' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 57%, draw 25%, Ulytau 18%17' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 57%, draw 26%, Ulytau 18%18' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 56%, draw 26%, Ulytau 18%19' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 56%, draw 26%, Ulytau 18%20' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 56%, draw 26%, Ulytau 18%22' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 55%, draw 27%, Ulytau 18%23' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 55%, draw 27%, Ulytau 18%24' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 55%, draw 27%, Ulytau 18%25' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 55%, draw 27%, Ulytau 18%26' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 54%, draw 27%, Ulytau 18%27' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 54%, draw 28%, Ulytau 18%29' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 54%, draw 28%, Ulytau 18%30' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 53%, draw 28%, Ulytau 18%31' · 0–0 · Yelimay Semey 53%, draw 29%, Ulytau 18%32' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%33' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%34' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%35' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%36' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%37' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%38' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%39' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%40' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%41' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%42' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%44' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%45' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 15%, Ulytau 5%45+1' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 16%, Ulytau 5%45+2' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 16%, Ulytau 5%HT · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 16%, Ulytau 5%46' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 16%, Ulytau 5%47' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 16%, Ulytau 5%48' · 1–0 · Yelimay Semey 80%, draw 16%, Ulytau 5%49' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 96%, draw 3%, Ulytau 1%50' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 96%, draw 3%, Ulytau 1%51' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 96%, draw 3%, Ulytau 1%52' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 96%, draw 3%, Ulytau 1%53' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 96%, draw 3%, Ulytau 1%54' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 96%, draw 3%, Ulytau 1%55' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 96%, draw 3%, Ulytau 0%56' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 96%, draw 3%, Ulytau 0%57' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 3%, Ulytau 0%58' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 3%, Ulytau 0%59' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 3%, Ulytau 0%60' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 3%, Ulytau 0%61' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 3%, Ulytau 0%62' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 3%, Ulytau 0%63' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 3%, Ulytau 0%64' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%65' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%66' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 97%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%67' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%68' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%69' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%70' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%71' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%72' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%73' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%74' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%75' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 2%, Ulytau 0%76' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%77' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%78' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%79' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%80' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%81' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%83' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%84' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 98%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%85' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%86' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%87' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%88' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%90' · 2–0 · Yelimay Semey 99%, draw 1%, Ulytau 0%

Last reading, 90': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Yelimay Semey 60% to win: they did.

  1. 22'Yelimay Semey:S. Tanasijevic 1654 −1*
  2. 32'Yelimay Semey:R. Murillo 1497 +7* (pen.)
  3. 46'Ulytau:R. Serikkul 1263 for H. Harada 1393 −11*
  4. 49'Yelimay Semey:China 1562 +2* assist R. Murillo 1497 +7*
  5. 63'Yelimay Semey:Z. Payruz 1409 for A. Bakhtiyarov 1455 +8*
  6. 63'Yelimay Semey:H. Ilic 1612 for China 1562 +2*
  7. 63'Yelimay Semey:F. Placca 1601 for A. Zhaksylykov 1424 +10*
  8. 73'Ulytau:A. Taubay 1347 for A. Bougnone 1388 −11*
  9. 74'Yelimay Semey:R. Murtazaev 1353 for R. Murillo 1497 +7*
  10. 79'Ulytau:D. Maulenov 1083 for D. Carmona Sierra 1425 −15*
  11. 83'Yelimay Semey:S. Tanasijevic 1654 −1*
  12. 83'Yelimay Semey:S. Tanasijevic 1654 −1*
  13. 89'Ulytau:A. Smith 1540 for B. Vachiberadze 1347 −12*
  14. 90+1'Yelimay Semey:M. Belancic 1556 for R. Orazov 1685 +5
  15. 90+4'Ulytau:

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-5-2Formations4-1-4-1
GDmytro Nepohodov1311−14*
DDavid Carmona1425−15*
DMaksim Chalkin1207−10*
DGlib Bukhal1444−16*
MAslan Akhmedov1309−8*
MArthur Bougnone1388−11*
MDavid Martin Anane1421−13*
MBeka Vachiberadze1347−12*
MHiroki Harada1393−11*
MBagdat Daniyarov1155−8*
FBakdaulet Zulfikarov1235−8*
CNurken Mazbaev1406
Before kick-off: 60% · 23% · 17%(Yelimay Semey · draw · Ulytau)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Yelimay Semey €408K, Ulytau €210K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Yelimay Semey

6th in Premier League · 41 pts from 27

  • 17 SepWFK Tobol Kostanay 1559
  • 12 SepWZhetysu 1515
  • 6 SepLFC Astana 1578
  • 31 AugLKairat Almaty 1564
  • 16 AugDKaspiy 1556

Ulytau

8th in Premier League · 35 pts from 27

  • 18 SepDAktobe 1283
  • 13 SepLAltay 1345
  • 6 SepLFK Tobol Kostanay 1358
  • 29 AugWZhetysu 1355
  • 8 AugDKaspiy 1349

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Yelimay Semey41 /2746.20%5%0%6th
Ulytau35 /2738.10%0%0%8th
Yelimay Semey
Ulytau

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Andrei Karpovich

Coach DNA: –

Nurken Mazbaev

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.