Premier League · Regular Season - 28
Yelimay Semey 1–3 Aktobe
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Stadion Spartak, Semey
Yelimay SemeyTeam 1571
AktobeTeam 1560- B. Kairov 83' (og)
- T. Erlanov 15'
- S. Ojo 49'
- A. Shushenachev 89'
We gave Yelimay Semey 42% to win: Aktobe won.
- 15'T. Erlanov – assist Pibe –
Aktobe:T. Erlanov – assist Pibe – - 19'B. Kairov –
Aktobe:B. Kairov – - 46'D. Topalov – for T. Dosmagambetov –
Aktobe:D. Topalov – for T. Dosmagambetov – - 49'S. Ojo – assist Pibe –
Aktobe:S. Ojo – assist Pibe – - 59'A. Shushenachev –
Aktobe:A. Shushenachev – - R. Murtazaev – for A. Zhaksylykov –62'
Yelimay Semey:R. Murtazaev – for A. Zhaksylykov – - China – for A. Zhumakhanov –62'
Yelimay Semey:China – for A. Zhumakhanov – - 65'S. Miangue –
Aktobe:S. Miangue – - A. Ashirbek –65'
Yelimay Semey:A. Ashirbek – - 65'S. Ojo –
Aktobe:S. Ojo – - R. Murillo – for F. Placca –71'
Yelimay Semey:R. Murillo – for F. Placca – - M. Mittendorfer –73'
Yelimay Semey:M. Mittendorfer – - 74'D. Sosah – for S. Ojo –
Aktobe:D. Sosah – for S. Ojo – - B. Kairov – (own goal)83'
Yelimay Semey:B. Kairov – (own goal) - 85'A. Tanzharikov – for Pibe –
Aktobe:A. Tanzharikov – for Pibe – - 86'I. Ordets – for G. Zhukov –
Aktobe:I. Ordets – for G. Zhukov – - 89'A. Shushenachev – assist D. Sosah –
Aktobe:A. Shushenachev – assist D. Sosah – - 90+2'Nani – for A. Shushenachev –
Aktobe:Nani – for A. Shushenachev –
Before kick-off (provisional): 42% · 29% · 29%(Yelimay Semey · draw · Aktobe)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Yelimay Semey €399K, Aktobe €367K.
- All 11 of Aktobe's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Yelimay Semey
6th in Premier League · 38 pts from 25
- 17 SepWFK Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League1559
- 12 SepWZhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League1515
- 6 SepLFC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League1578
- 31 AugLKairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League1564
- 16 AugDKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1556
Aktobe
5th in Premier League · 42 pts from 26
- 18 SepDUlytau Kazakhstan Premier League1550
- 12 SepWKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1563
- 5 SepWZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1538
- 30 AugLIrtysh Kazakhstan Premier League1496
- 9 AugDAtyrau Kazakhstan Premier League1580
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yelimay Semey | 38 /25 | 46.4 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 6th |
| Aktobe | 42 /26 | 47.0 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Aktobe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1550
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile