League One · Regular Season - 11
Wycombe 2–0 Notts County
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Adams Park, High Wycombe
WycombeTeam 1808Notts CountyTeam 1686- Max Sanders 44' (og)
- Fred Onyedinma 86'
We gave Wycombe 53% to win: they did.
- Jack Grimmer –22'Wycombe:Jack Grimmer –
- Max Sanders – (own goal)44'Wycombe:Max Sanders – (own goal)
- 45'Ishé Samuels-Smith – for Lucas Ness –Notts County:Ishé Samuels-Smith – for Lucas Ness –
- 61'Scott Robertson – for Max Sanders –Notts County:Scott Robertson – for Max Sanders –
- 62'Conor·Grant – for Jack Evans –Notts County:Conor·Grant – for Jack Evans –
- 62'D. Kanu – for lee ndlovu –Notts County:D. Kanu – for lee ndlovu –
- 62'Matt Palmer – for Rory Finneran –Notts County:Matt Palmer – for Rory Finneran –
- Junior Quitirna – for Jamie Mullins –70'Wycombe:Junior Quitirna – for Jamie Mullins –
- 77'Scott Robertson –Notts County:Scott Robertson –
- Ewan Henderson – for Cauley Woodrow –83'Wycombe:Ewan Henderson – for Cauley Woodrow –
- Fred Onyedinma – assist Daniel Harvie –86'Wycombe:Fred Onyedinma – assist Daniel Harvie –
- Luke Leahy – for Caolan Boyd-Munce –89'Wycombe:Luke Leahy – for Caolan Boyd-Munce –
- 90+4'James Gibbons –Notts County:James Gibbons –
Before kick-off (provisional): 53% · 26% · 21%(Wycombe · draw · Notts County)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wycombe €735K, Notts County €380K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wycombe
15th in League One · 10 pts from 9
- 10 OctLLuton England League One1813
- 6 OctWBristol Rovers England EFL Trophy1637
- 26 SepDReading England League One1836
- 19 SepWWigan England League One1827
- 15 SepWChelsea U21 England EFL Trophy1723
Notts County
22nd in League One · 7 pts from 8
- 13 OctWNottingham Forest U21 England EFL Trophy1616
- 10 OctLOxford United England League One1736
- 22 SepWGrimsby England EFL Trophy1520
- 19 SepLReading England League One1698
- 12 SepLBradford England League One1673
Season outlook
From the League One simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wycombe | 10 /9 | 62.2 | 1% | 9% | 4% | 9th |
| Notts County | 7 /8 | 48.1 | 0% | <1% | 52% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wycombe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1849
Notts County · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1735
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wycombe: balanced profile (how Tom Hounsell plays) · Notts County: possession-based · low-block (how Martin Andrew Paterson plays)